Consumer discretionary
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How much bigger can e-commerce get?
Roger Montgomery
October 29, 2020
The coronavirus pandemic and associated lockdowns have put a rocket under e-commerce adoption in Australia, boosting the sales of companies with strong digital platforms – like Adairs and Temple & Webster. But how much further can e-commerce penetration go? The experience of other developed nations gives a pretty clear indication. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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How long will the shift in retail spending continue?
Stuart Jackson
September 23, 2020
One of the thematics from the last few months has been the material change in retail spending. With COVID-19 related lockdowns and restrictions on population movement and activity, the ability to spend on services such as out of home entertainment and activities has been significantly curtailed. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Five retail winners from reporting season
Joseph Kim
September 11, 2020
One of the big winners emerging from the recent reporting season has been higher quality, small-cap retail stocks. These companies have benefited from increased spending in goods and durables, as spending generally ear-marked for services (including transport and travel) reduced with lockdown measures – i.e. “higher share of wallet.” continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Stocks We Like.
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Adairs and Kogan benefit from COVID-19-inspired themes
Roger Montgomery
August 11, 2020
In addition to the acceleration of e-commerce in Australia, COVID-19 has produced several themes that are generating retail winners; some are benefitting from the Do-Up-Your-Home-Because-You’ll-Be-Spending-More-Time-There theme, there are those benefitting from the boost to income from JobKeeper, JobSeeker and early Superannuation withdrawals, and there are those that will benefit from the additional A$45 billion spent locally that was previously spent on, or during, overseas holidays. And many retailers of course are benefitting from all three themes. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Stocks We Like.
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Will consumer trends change forever post COVID-19 experience?
Scott Phillips
August 10, 2020
Living in a world with COVID-19 certainly has changed the habits of many of us, particularly when it comes to our consumer behaviour. We have seen business models and sectors bought to their knees (Virgin, Flight Centre, Myer, Unibail Rodamco Westfield) while others have found themselves suddenly with an online business in hot demand (Kogan, Adairs, Marley Spoon, Temple and Webster). So, will consumers continue to support their new online practices and which areas have been the real beneficiaries. continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Discretionary retail thrives as we spend up big at home
Dominic Rose
August 7, 2020
For more evidence that discretionary retail is absolutely booming right now, particularly the furniture and homewares category, look no further than Nick Scali’s (ASX:NCK) strong FY20 result and near-term outlook. NCK’s result follows hot on the heels of strong updates by key homewares peers, Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) and Beacon Lighting (ASX:BLX), and reinforces our conviction in Adairs (ASX:ADH) heading into results season. continue…
by Dominic Rose Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Stocks We Like.
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Consumption data signal trouble ahead for many businesses
Stuart Jackson
July 29, 2020
JobKeeper has been incredibly important in supporting consumer spending in Australia. But recent data show that spending could be plateauing – even before JobKeeper is wound back. This could signal even worse times ahead for many businesses. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Consumer discretionary, Market commentary.
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Why we’re strengthening our tilt to e-retailers
Roger Montgomery
July 22, 2020
Our small cap fund’s investments in selected e-commerce enabled retailers has served us well during the COVID-19 period. With total consumption likely to decline over the next year or so, we think these businesses should continue to outperform Brick & Mortar retailers. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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New data confirms the meteoric rise of online shopping
Stuart Jackson
June 10, 2020
The government-imposed COVID-19 lockdown accelerated a number of social trends. One of those was our increasing preference for online shopping. Recent data shows that even though the lockdown pushed total retail sales off a cliff in April, online sales shot up. And one retailer – Kogan – stood out from the pack. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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The retailers to watch as the economy opens up
Dominic Rose
May 19, 2020
In just a few short months, the COVID-19 pandemic and associated lockdown have triggered seismic shifts across the retail landscape. Some changes are likely to be temporary; others may accelerate previous structural trends. As we emerge from hibernation, I thought I’d try to identify the businesses that should prove to be better investments in the years ahead. continue…
by Dominic Rose Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Stocks We Like.
