articles by Stuart Jackson
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Downgrades galore as we head into interim reporting season
Stuart Jackson
February 11, 2020
With many Australian companies sitting on lofty valuations, woe betide those that disappoint the market. Because, as we have already seen, investors have taken a big stick to companies that cut their earnings outlook. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies.
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What should we expect from the big four banks in 2020?
Stuart Jackson
January 13, 2020
In this week’s video insight Stuart reviews the banks performance in 2019. The banks have endured a turbulent few of years and 2019 was no different, generating a total return of 9.5 per cent for the calendar year, less than half that of the broader market return of 23.8 per cent. Of the major banks the Commonwealth of Australia was the best performer delivering a total return of 16.9 per cent. Looking to 2020, the outlook is improving marginally relative to 2019 but remains challenging. What should we expect? Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Editor's Pick, Financial Services, Video Insights.
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Gambling giant, Aristocrat, continues to churn out the profits
Stuart Jackson
November 25, 2019
Aristocrat Leisure (ASX: ALL), one of the world’s largest manufacturers of gambling machines, has been a stellar performer over the past five years, rising some 400 per cent. It’s recently reported results were impressive, to say the least. Free cash flow was up 16 per cent. Dividends rose 22 per cent. And debt was down. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Banking on lower Growth
Stuart Jackson
November 12, 2019
As highlighted in the recent results announcements from Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX:ANZ), Westpac (ASX:WBC) and National Australia Bank (ASX:NAB), the earnings and profits of our major banks are on the slide. It’s further justification for the investment strategy of The Montgomery Fund and The Montgomery [Private] Fund to have an 85 per cent active underweight position in the major banks. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Financial Services.
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Changing competitive dynamics in mortgage lending
Stuart Jackson
October 28, 2019
In my video blog last week, I discussed why the major banks had not passed on the recent RBA rate cuts in full. This is due to an increasing proportion of each bank’s funding base approaching zero or close to zero interest rates. As most bank customers would know, transaction and traditional savings accounts pay little or no interest at present. This fixes the funding cost of these deposits for the banks irrespective of what the RBA does in terms of lowering its official overnight rate. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Financial Services.
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Low interest rates – another headwind for the banks
Stuart Jackson
October 15, 2019
In this week’s video insight Stuart identifies the impact low interest rates have on the banks. On the back of three successive 25 basis point cuts to the RBA’s official overnight rate, the major banks have reduced their standard variable mortgage rates by a cumulative 55 to 59 basis points over the same period. The problem is that as the RBA reduces the official rate, more and more of the banks transaction deposit base is paying zero or negligible rates of interest. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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Why did Nufarm’s share price rally following its result?
Stuart Jackson
October 1, 2019
The share price of agricultural chemical company Nufarm (ASX:NUF) increased 26 per cent on Monday following the release of its earnings results for the 12 months to July 2019. The company also announced the sale of its Latin American businesses to its major shareholder, Sumitomo. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies.
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Mortgage credit growth bounces back
Stuart Jackson
September 18, 2019
Last month, REA Group chief executive Owen Wilson claimed that “the buyers are definitely back”. And recent data seem to back him up. House prices are rebounding, auction clearance rates are up, and mortgage credit growth has turned a corner. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Property.
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Emerging themes from the August 2019 reporting season
Stuart Jackson
September 5, 2019
In this week’s video insight Stuart wraps up reporting season and identifies common themes. Outlook statements provided by companies generally disappointed, with forecasts for 39 per cent of companies being downgraded as compared to just 18 per cent of company earnings forecasts being upgraded. In terms of sector performance, the most significant detractor was the mining sector, with the large iron ore stocks giving back some of their stellar gains for the calendar year to date.
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Video Insights.
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What next for our big health insurers?
Stuart Jackson
August 30, 2019
Investors in NIB Holdings (ASX:NHF) and Medibank Private (ASX:MPL) would have enjoyed the past six months, with the share price of both companies rising by over 20 per cent. And there may be more good news to come. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Health Care, Stocks We Like.
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