This journey began with the simple question Will David beat Goliath?
Value.able Graduate Scott T resolved to take up a fight with conventional investing, by tracking the performance of a typical and published ‘institutional-style’ portfolio against a portfolio of companies that receive my highest Montgomery Quality Ratings.
By 30 June 2011 the A1 portfolio was up 1.8 per cent compared to the XJO, which was down 2.9 per cent. As for the conventional ‘institutional’ portfolio, the bankers were down 6.2 per cent.
Over to Scott T for his third quarter update…
“For new readers to Roger Montgomery’s Insights Blog, welcome. Here at Roger’s blog we are conducting a 12-month exercise measuring the performance of a basket of 10 stocks recommended by Goldman Sachs, against a basket of 10 A1 or A2 businesses that were selling for as big a discount to Intrinsic Value as we could find.
“Nine months have now passed since our twin brothers each invested their $100 000 inheritance, and it has been a very turbulent time in the market.
“Our Queensland regional accountant has had his head down at the office for the entire quarter. The end of the financial year had come and gone and hundreds of clients where sending in their tax documentation, calling with questions and chasing their refunds. Time flew by in the office, and he hardly had time to try to attract new clients, let alone watch the daily gyrations of the global equities markets. By the end of September when he was finally able to take a breath and look at the performance of his portfolio.
“He was surprised at how poorly his portfolio of A1 and A2 companies, acquired at prices less than they were worth, had faired. But he quickly realised the overall market had done even worse. Loosing 12 per cent, or $12 000, YTD was bad. But it could have been worse, much worse.
“His twin brother was in a world of pain. The federal department he worked for felt like it was under attack. The mood in the department was that the media seemed hell bent on criticising everything the government did. No initiative was well received and every announcement was instantly compared to last months failure. To top it all off, every night he would check his portfolio, to see how much more of his inheritance had vanished. The red negative number on his spreadsheet just seemed to steadily increase. With little information to go on, and a feeling of helplessness washing over him, he thought seriously about visiting his financial advisors, desperately seeking reassurance, and perhaps changing the mix of the stocks held. He resounded, “Buying what they advised would be good for 2012”.
“As per the first half of the year, dividends will be picked up in the fourth quarter, when shares have finished going ex-dividend and the dividends have actually been received.
“In summary for the nine months to 30 September 2011:
The XJO is DOWN 15.5 per cent
The Goldman Sachs Portfoliois DOWN 19.7 per cent
The A1 and A2 Portfolio is DOWN 12.0 per cent
The A1 and A2 Portfolio has achieved an OUTPERFORMANCE of 3.5 per cent over the XJO and 7.7 per cent over the Goldman Sachs portfolio.
“Here are the portfolios in detail, including cash dividends received in the first half (click the image to enlarge)

“We will visit the brothers again at the end of December for a final wrap up of their first year, and discuss their strategies for 2012
“All the Best
Scott T”
Thank you Scott.
How is your A1 portfolio performing?
Posted by Roger Montgomery and his A1 team, fund managers and creators of the next-generation A1 stock market service, 6 October 2011.