Following strong interest from my latest video insight on the U.S. bond market this update takes a deeper look. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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I joined Kirsten Aiken on ABC News earlier this week to discuss the recent U.S.-China trade talks. While these discussions aimed to reinforce the trade truce established last month in Geneva, they primarily offered a framework without substantial new commitments, leaving investors largely unimpressed. The prevailing concern among investors, however, is the perceived gradual shift of the U.S. towards authoritarianism, which is creating significant unease in the markets.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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As an investor witnessing more than three decades of booms and busts, I find it increasingly difficult to separate investing from politics, especially when political figures have a harmful, toxic, and deleterious impact on investment performance. I am frequently told by those who disagree to stay in my lane and steer clear of politics, but under Trump, the two subjects are intertwined. I believe it’s impossible to peer into the future – where investment returns are produced – and ignore Trump’s impact, and therefore, his intentions. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Trumps massive deficit spending plan coincides with an unprecedented refinancing burden that could drain market liquidity. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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I joined Paul Turton on ABC NSW Mornings to unpack the public breakup between Donald Trump and Elon Musk, the unrest unfolding in Los Angeles, and the weakening U.S. dollar – and what this all means for Australia investors. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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The return of Donald Trump to the presidency has brought with it a series of actions and policies that systematically undermine the foundational principles of American democracy. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Last month, the United States House of Representatives passed Donald Trump’s absurdly named “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” a 1,038-page legislative juggernaut championed to deliver on campaign promises including “a hodgepodge of controversial tax breaks for the wealthy, spending reductions and increased work requirements for food aid and Medicaid programs and huge funding increases for President Trump’s mass migrant removal program…”, according to The Hill News. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Most of the time, you can ignore monthly economic data – it rarely, if ever, changes trends in markets. But with Trump fiscal profligate ways, a huge global debt refinancing event coming in 2026/27 and threats to democracy itself, it probably now pays to keep a closer eye on how the U.S. economy is faring. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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