Monthly Archives: June 2024
Ausbiz – Have discretionary stocks hit a bottom?
David Buckland
June 28, 2024
In my recent interview with Ausbiz, I discussed the significant impact of rising inflation on renters and mortgage owners, leading to reduced discretionary spending. I provided insights into the macro landscape, noting inflation has risen to 4% and the employee living cost index is at 6.5%. Many retail businesses, such as Cettire (ASX: CTT) and Baby Bunting (ASX: BBN), are experiencing profit declines and multi-year lows in shares. The advertising sector also seems to be struggling as many businesses, including Seven West (ASX: SWM) and Nine Network (ASX:NEC), are also hitting multi-year lows.
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by David Buckland Posted in TV Appearances.
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Private Credit and the demographic tailwind
David Buckland
June 28, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the Baby Boomers looming retirement, and the importance of ensuring financial stability. With rising property costs and the need to replace lost income, finding reliable investments is essential. I highlight private credit as an option, offering the potential for returns with lower volatility. By diversifying investments, retirees can enhance their income, providing financial security throughout their retirement years. Additionally, I address how rising property prices impact young people, making it harder for them to afford homes. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Aura Group, Video Insights.
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Webinar – Investing mastermind Series
Roger Montgomery
June 27, 2024
I had the pleasure of joining Chris Batchelor to present a webinar hosted by Stockopedia as part of their Investing Mastermind series. We delved into unlocking the secrets of stock selection and identifying high-quality stocks. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like, Talks.
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Seven global companies with bright prospects
Roger Montgomery
June 26, 2024
Since the beginning of the year, the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund has traded, or adjusted positions in, a number of portfolio holdings and as some of the names are those you are likely familiar with, Polen Capital thought it would be more than a little interesting to shed some light on the reason for the changes. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Polen Capital.
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ABC NEWCASTLE MORNINGS – Global market insights
David Buckland
June 25, 2024
In this week’s interview with Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio, we discussed several key financial trends and their global impacts. We covered the significant growth of the S&P 500 over the last four years, driven largely by technology stocks and the artificial intelligence revolution. We also delved into the current economic climate in Australia, examining the rising inflation and consumer price index (CPI), and how these factors are influencing discretionary spending and mortgage interest rates. Additionally, we explored the dynamics of the Chinese economy, focusing on the implications of Australia’s coal and iron ore exports to China. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Radio.
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U.S. public debt (part 2)
David Buckland
June 24, 2024
With the U.S. official cash rate remaining in the 5.25 per cent to 5.50 per cent range and the U.S. consumer price index rising at an annual pace of 3.3 per cent in May, it appears the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will be sitting on their hands over the foreseeable future as they wait for the rate of inflation to decelerate sustainably toward two per cent. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics.
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Belt tightening of a different kind
Roger Montgomery
June 21, 2024
Here’s an investment theme worth watching, especially if weight loss drugs such as Ozempic start to experience mass adoption in Australia.
In the U.S., apparel retailers are capitalising on the weight loss trend in what is perhaps an unexpected way.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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Send a burrito to the GYG naysayers
Roger Montgomery
June 20, 2024
We recently wrote about the then-upcoming Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG) float. That post and its associated social media mentions engendered some polarized views. Curiously, perhaps the bullish camp was filled with those who eat and enjoy Guzman y Gomez’s products. Those who thought the burritos missed the mark assumed the initial public offering (IPO) would do likewise. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick.
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20%-Off at Merivale yet to influence RBA economists
Roger Montgomery
June 20, 2024
I think it’s fair to say anyone with a mortgage or business loan would like to see some relief at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) bowser. While rate cuts benefit those with loans, with real estate, and mortgages, rate cuts could push real estate prices up, further hindering those who are already validly complaining about affordability. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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Tech dreams and nightmares
Roger Montgomery
June 19, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the transformative potential of advanced technology. As futuristic innovations like flying vehicles and AI-powered robots become reality, we must consider their broader socioeconomic implications. Will these advancements enhance our lives or create new challenges? How will they impact job markets, consumer costs, and wealth distribution? Continue…