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Why the Australian Future Fund has turned bearish
Roger Montgomery
September 6, 2023
The Australian Future Fund, valued at $258 billion, is undergoing significant strategic shifts under the guidance of Chief Executive Raphael Arndt and Chair Peter Costello. These changes are driven by expectations of prolonged inflation, overvalued stocks, and the heightened risks stemming from China’s economic slowdown. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Qantas’ past, present, and uncertain future: A CEO’s departure raises questions
Roger Montgomery
September 5, 2023
“I leave knowing that the airline is fundamentally strong and has a bright future,” are today’s parting words from Mr. Alan Joyce, now ‘former’ Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of Qantas (ASX:QAN) and pictured below with Australia’s current Prime Minister, Anthony Albanese. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Airlines, Companies.
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Is Flight Centre about to take off?
Roger Montgomery
September 5, 2023
In 2018, Flight Centre Travel Group’s (ASX:FLT) share price was flying high and trading above $61.00. With 101.1 million shares on issue, the market capitalisation at the time was just shy of $6.2 billion. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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Aura Private Credit insights: monthly CPI indicator is easing
Brett Craig
September 4, 2023
The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) indicator is continuing to show signs of easing. The 12 months to July reported a 4.9 per cent increase, which is down from the June figure of 5.4 per cent. This is a significant improvement off the back of the 8.4 per cent peak in December 2022. This is the lowest inflation rate since February 2022. The most notable prices increases were in housing and food and beverages. The decline in the price of fuel offset the rise for the July period. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.
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U.S. regional banks two-point-Oh!
Roger Montgomery
September 4, 2023
We appear to be witnessing a shift in the U.S. banking landscape and recent events suggest we should proceed with caution. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Aura Private Credit insights: Are the rising interest rates finally having their desired effect?
Brett Craig
September 1, 2023
The latest monetary policy decision made in August was to hold the cash rate at 4.10 per cent. With the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) monetary policy meeting next week, many are wondering if the RBA has another rate hike up their sleeve. Whilst many believe we are nearing the top of the rate hiking cycle, understanding the current economic conditions will assist in determining the probability of an interest rate hike versus a hold on interest rates. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.
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What ‘Appens’ next?
Roger Montgomery
September 1, 2023
Appen (ASX:APX), a self-described global leader in data collection, adaptation, and labelling for major technology firms, has been variously considered a technology company, a machine learning beneficiary, and more recently, an AI winner. In truth, it is a stretch to consider it any of these things. And in my opinion, it is none of these things and never has been. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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WHITEPAPERS
Hidden in plain sight: our quest for quality around the world
Polen Capital
August 31, 2023
Recently, we highlighted the attractive opportunity we see in international equities.¹ On the back of more than a decade of underperformance relative to the U.S., we believe international now has some notable winds at its back, including cheap absolute and relative valuations and moderating dollar strength. Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Companies, Polen Capital, Stocks We Like, Whitepapers.
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