by Roger Montgomery's Team Posted in Old Content.

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For any subscribers who missed it, here is the first Montgomery Global magazine in anticipation of the launch of our new global products on 1 July 2015.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights, Whitepapers.

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In this article, Roger discusses the importance of adopting a rational approach to investing. He highlights the need for it to be repeatable and replicable. Read here.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.

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The answer to that question will be unique to you and your investing goals. In our latest Whitepaper, we take an in-depth look at Unit Trusts and Listed Investment Companies. 

by Scott Phillips Posted in Insightful Insights, Whitepapers.

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We take a look at Sirtex Medical Limited’s half-year result to 31 December 2014. According to Portfolio Manager, Russell Muldoon, the result is much stronger across the board, than previously modeled, particularly in dosage sales (volumes), price increases and average selling prices.

Sirtex’s half-year result is further evidence of our current belief in the business’s underlying strength and management’s strategy.

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by Russell Muldoon Posted in Companies, Health Care.

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On Monday night I attended a conference call with the exceptionally articulate George Papandreou, Prime Minister of Greece from October 2009 to November 2011. He said a sudden exit from the European Union would be chaotic.  Greek GDP could quickly decline by 20% and the cost of major imports of oil and foodstuffs would go through the roof.

While Greece accounts for only 2% of the European Union GDP, Papandreou felt the threat of kicking Greece out could set a precedent for Portugal, Italy and Spain, which together account for 23% of European Union GDP.  It would mean the beginning of the unraveling of Europe and create further weakness with massive consequences.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Value.able.

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We have been delighted with the reports coming out from the smaller industrial companies and note again the growing divergence in the performance of the XJO versus the XNJ (ASX 200 versus All Industrials). We attribute this to a declining enthusiasm for the ‘resource story’ and the fact that many of the industrial companies we like (and own, including MTU) are producing such fantastic results despite evidence of a terrible domestic economic backdrop.

Headline revenue was down 14% as a result of the reduction of unprofitable EDirect business activity.  Thats good.  Underlying revenue (excluding the zero margin Edirect business) rose 8% and the dividend was up 29%. Business cash flow was $17.5mln compared to reported profit of $16.7mln.   The impact on valuations should be positive again but ultimately will be determined by the returns generated on the $21.8mln paid for the two acquisitions made in the current half.

Since 2003 (the year before MTU listed) the company has increased profits by more than 91% per annum and is forecast to grow profits again to $36 mln in 2012.  To generate the increase in profits (of $27mln to 2011) $60 million has been raised and $30 million borrowed.  The return on incremental equity is about 50% suggesting the acquisitions made thus far have reflected an astute allocation of capital.  We’ll be keeping an eye on the debt but reckon a recovery in the local economy (as interest rates are lowered and hopefully passed on by the banks) will give MTU another boost.

According to one of our brokers who has a buy recommendation on the stock, the following stocks are at risk of reducing their dividends:  Examining for factors…”forecast earnings revisions, payout ratios, stock price stability and free operating cashflows, the companies that are most at risk of further dividend cuts are SWM, GWA, TTS, HVN, QBE and MYR. Those that have reduced dividends but continue to pose a risk include BBG, CSR, DJS, GFF, HIL, MQG, OST, PPT, PBG, PTM, TAH, and TEN.”

Not a recommendation of course. Seek and take personal professional advice before engaging in ANY securities transactions.

Posted by Roger Montgomery, Value.able author, Skaffold Chairman and Fund Manager, 27 February 2012.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Skaffold.

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In last weekend’s Weekend Australian, Terry McCrann wrote an excellent piece explaining the possible nature and motivations behind the relationship between Murdoch, Stokes and Packer. ‘Hiatus after Packer’s bombshell’ was both enlightening and entertaining. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Media Companies.

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