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February – ABC Statewide Drive
Roger Montgomery
February 26, 2025
Last week, I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Statewide Drive to discuss the current reporting season. Share prices are reacting more sharply to earnings surprises, with around four companies beating estimates for every one that misses. Dividend per share results are also exceeding forecasts at a two-to-one rate, driving company outlook upgrades. Listed companies are gaining market share, with strong performers like the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA), JB Hi-Fi (ASX:JBH), and REA Group (ASX:REA) standing out. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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GYG delivers and expects to exceed FY25 forecasts
Roger Montgomery
February 25, 2025
Guzman y Gomez (ASX:GYG) has reported its half-year results, exceeding the market’s expectations for revenue by two per cent but missed the markets earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) forecasts by four per cent. The market’s negative reaction to the results suggests the share price had moved too far ahead of operational milestones. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps.
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Telstra’s half year results – modest gains driven by cost control not expansion
Roger Montgomery
February 24, 2025
Telstra’s (ASX:TLS) latest half-year financial results, released yesterday, tell a story of modest gains, underpinned by cost control rather than broad-based expansion, raising important questions about the company’s path to sustainable growth. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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ABC PM – Bank customers urged to shop around following rate cut
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2025
This week, I joined David Taylor on ABC PM to discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest rate cut and why bank customers should take action. Many of us are effectively lending money to banks for free, and inertia prevents us from seeking better returns. With no guarantee of further cuts, now is the time to shop around and make our cash work harder. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Radio.
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Australian reporting season: strong start with surprises on dividends and upgrades
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I discussed the latest updates from Australia’s reporting season, where earnings and dividends have generally exceeded expectations. So far, companies reporting above forecasts outnumber those missing, contributing to the market’s performance in February. Analyst upgrades have also been more frequent than downgrades, with several well-established companies maintaining their competitive position.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Video Insights.
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Kmart and chemicals (not Bunnings) powers Wesfarmers result
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2025
Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) delivered a solid set of half-year results for financial year 2025, exceeding market estimates at the earnings-before-tax (EBT) level and marginally at the top line. Strong performances by Kmart and WesCEF (chemicals, energy and fertilisers) drove the positive surprise, while Bunnings met expectations. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Ausbiz – should we be less certain on a bullish 2025 now?
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2025
I joined Ausbiz to discuss the market’s strong reactions to earnings surprises this reporting season, the competitive advantages driving companies like the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ahead of rivals, and Nick Scali’s growth through strategic acquisitions. I also shared my broader market outlook, highlighting the importance of disinflation, economic growth, and liquidity for a bull market, while questioning the sustainability of liquidity in future gains. Listen to the full interview here: Ausbiz – should we be less certain on a bullish 2025 for now?
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, TV Appearances.
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ARB Corporation: from local manufacturer to global 4×4 powerhouse
Roger Montgomery
February 20, 2025
From the first days of this blog, back in 2009/10, we have been writing about ARB Corporation (ASX:ARB), classifying it as one of the highest ‘A1’ quality companies listed on the ASX. Back in 2009, the share price was below $3.00 (and many thought it was on a high price to earnings (P/E) ratio then!). Today, ARB shares trade at nearly $40 dollars, and it’s paid out $7.62 in dividends since. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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