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Ausbiz – Roger pops the market bubble myth
Roger Montgomery
March 8, 2024
In my recent interview with Ausbiz, I discussed the current state of the stock market and addressed the question of whether it is in a bubble. I noted that the typical euphoria seen in market bubbles is absent and highlighted that both the U.S. and Australian market gains, along with current initial public offering (IPO) trends, do not align with typical bubble indicators. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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Normalise the underlying conditions when “rating” a company’s share price
David Buckland
March 8, 2024
I have often thought it is better to have qualifications in psychology rather than accounting, finance, or economics when it comes to being a successful, patient investor.
Four years ago, on 11 March 2020, the World Health Organisation (WHO) officially declared the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic. Markets were smashed in a short time, with many indexes declining 30 to 40 per cent over February/ March 2020. In hindsight, opportunities became plentiful, however the ensuing “pandemic-related enthusiasm” was often misplaced. Hence, it is crucial to discern between a fad and something more permanent. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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WHITEPAPERS
Interest rates, the best it gets. It’s time to deploy cash
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2024
In the ever-changing landscape of financial markets, 2023 defied expectations, with highly anticipated recessions in Australia and the U.S. failing to materialise. But the macroeconomic insights of Gavekal Research, from all the way back to 1978 – that innovative growth stocks with pricing power do well amid disinflation and positive economic growth –, has proven consistently prescient. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Whitepapers.
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Equity gains and small cap potential
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I discuss the promising potential for market rallies into 2026, driven by a combination of disinflation and positive economic growth. Highlighting observations and historical trends, I delve into why innovative growth companies, particularly those in the small-cap sector, are poised for significant gains after a period focused mainly on mega-cap technology stocks. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Small Caps.
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Australia’s recession: GDP per capita records three consecutive negative quarters
David Buckland
March 6, 2024
Attending my undergraduate degree in the early 1980s, there was a big focus on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. This meant economists took out the often-large stimulus from a rising population, and analysis was done over the population of the day. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Audinate: surpassing expectations and expanding market dominance
Roger Montgomery
March 6, 2024
It’s unlikely you’ve heard of Audinate (ASX:AD8), a holding in the Montgomery Small Companies Fund. Audinate is a company with shares listed in the small cap sector of the Australian stock market. It might have flown under your radar by virtue of its size. But the other reason you might not have heard of it is you’re probably not a customer. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Life360: massive growth potential from the helicopter parent tailwind
David Buckland
March 5, 2024
ASX listed Life360 (ASX:360), a family safety app that allows GPS location sharing is one of the larger and more exciting companies held by the Montgomery Small Companies Fund. In the two business days since Life360 announced its results for the year to 31 December 2023, the share price has jumped 46 per cent from $8.30 to $12.14. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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A review of the Australian private credit market in 2023
Dean Curnow
March 4, 2024
2023 marked a year of both challenges and opportunities for the Australian private credit market. On the one hand, the tighter credit conditions in the first half of the year saw decreased activity in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), project finance and real estate development financing. On the other, the latter part of the year boasted a more stable interest rate and inflation outlook, as well as improved credit margins, supporting more resilient private credit portfolios.
by Dean Curnow Posted in Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Market commentary.