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Has peak inflation passed?
August 16, 2022
by Roger Montgomery
Is Flight Centre part of the recovery theme?
July 27, 2022
by Roger Montgomery
Why did Megaport’s share price jump 23%?
July 21, 2022
by Gary Rollo
Higher cash rates plus earnings downgrades: an opportunity for counter-cyclical investors
July 20, 2022
by David Buckland
  • Super Retail Group’s optimistic start to FY25 

    Roger Montgomery
    August 28, 2024

    Super Retail Group (ASX:SUL), the prominent Australian omnichannel retailer, reported its annual financial results for the fiscal year 2024, reflecting strong performance that was largely pre-guided, and a positive outlook for 2025. The company, which operates four key brands – Super Cheap Auto, Rebel, BCF (Boating, Camping & Fishing), and Macpac – continues to capture a significant share of the retail market in Australia.  Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
    • save this article
    • POSTED IN Companies, Stocks We Like.
  • GYG exceeds FY24 forecasts, sets positive tone for FY25

    Roger Montgomery
    August 27, 2024

     

    In a stellar financial performance, and in contrast to rivals, Guzman y Gomez (GYG) has significantly surpassed both its prospectus forecasts and market expectations for FY24. The fast-casual Mexican restaurant chain reported robust growth across key financial metrics, highlighting its successful strategic initiatives and strong consumer demand.  Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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    • POSTED IN Companies, Stocks We Like.
  • MEDIA

    Ausbiz – Two retail stocks with “promising” growth

    Roger Montgomery
    August 27, 2024

    In my recent interview with Ausbiz, I gave an overview of the current earnings season, shedding light on how the uncertain economic environment has influenced company performances. Despite the unclear macroeconomic picture, there has been a notable trend of companies exceeding earnings expectations. A key concern emerging from these financial results is the impact of a persistently high-interest rate environment on various sectors. Specific companies like ARB (ASX:ARB) and Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) show promise, demonstrating that businesses with strong overseas growth opportunities can still thrive even in challenging economic conditions.

    Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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    • POSTED IN TV Appearances.
  • An Accent on retail results 

    Roger Montgomery
    August 27, 2024

    Youth fashion retail Accent Group, (ASX:AX1) reported FY24 results that were aligned closely with the company’s 18 July trading update. Broadly speaking, the results demonstrated steady performance despite challenges.   Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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    • POSTED IN Companies.
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    “This is a book you simply must read.
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  • Have global carmakers sown the seeds of their own destruction in China? 

    Roger Montgomery
    August 26, 2024

    Reggae legend Bob Marley might have been channelling the Bible when he wrote the lyrics for Zion Train and famously observed, “Don’t gain the world and lose your soul; wisdom is better than silver or gold”. 

    Warren Buffett once famously noted, “We’ve never succeeded in making a good deal with a bad person.”  Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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    • POSTED IN Economics.
  • The need to differentiate between the severity of recessions 

    David Buckland
    August 23, 2024

    The Sahm Recession Indicator has signalled nine of the previous U.S. recessions over the past 65 years, and the move to 0.53 per cent in July 2024 is now pointing to the tenth. The indicator signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the U.S. national unemployment rate (U-3) rises by 0.50 per cent or more relative to the minimum of the three-month average from the preceding 12 months.    Continue…

    by David Buckland Posted in Economics.
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    • POSTED IN Economics.
  • Breville brews another solid result 

    Roger Montgomery
    August 22, 2024

    Back in February, Breville Group’s (ASX:BRG) HY24 results divided the investment community. Despite improved gross margins and efficient cost control measures, revenue fell slightly short of consensus expectations, prompting some analysts to suggest the company should have engaged in more promotional (read: discounting) activity to drive sales. Of course, strategically, this can weaken a brand and its long-term value.  Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps.
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    • POSTED IN Companies, Small Caps.
  • ARB Corporation

    ARB share price up as the business invests in growth  

    Roger Montgomery
    August 21, 2024

    As you know, four-wheel drive (4WD) aftermarket parts and accessories manufacturer, distributor and retailer ARB Corporation (ASX:ARB) is one of the highest A1-quality companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). As we have written here at the blog many times, I believe, over time, investors will transition from seeing it as being dominated by the cyclicality of its Australian business to a global, vertically integrated growth story with the U.S. ultimately generating vastly more revenue than its local operations.  Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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    • POSTED IN Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
    ARB Corporation
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