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Tesla is not a Magnificent 7
Roger Montgomery
March 20, 2024
It appears investors have finally woken up to the reality about electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers; they are just car companies with car company economics. It was always right to question Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) inclusion in the Magnificent 7. They are a group of companies that only have share price appreciation in common. However, Tesla has always been a bit of an outlier because it lacked one thing the other six have – pricing power. More about that shortly. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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Pilbara Minerals: the ASX’s most shorted stock, yet poised for long-term success?
Daniel Chan
March 19, 2024
As a low-cost and long-life spodumene producer (spodumene is a raw material used to produce lithium for batteries in your phone, e-bike and electric vehicles (EVs), Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS) is one of the highest quality single commodity miners on the ASX. The share price has been punished recently, with the spodumene price falling from over U.S.$8,000 per tonne to below U.S.$1,000 per tonne in just over 12 months. Continue…
by Daniel Chan Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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What valuation do you put on sentiment?
Roger Montgomery
March 18, 2024
Retail stocks were on the nose for some time amid fears of recession, the impact of rising interest rates, the cost-of-living crisis and inflation’s impact on the cost of doing business.
The recent HY24 reporting season, however, revealed much of the fear was misplaced. Aggregate revenue growth tended to beat estimates despite moderating slightly. Meanwhile, even though earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) margins compressed as the cost of doing business grew, this was somewhat offset by gross profit growth. Companies were able to pass on higher prices and more, and in the face of those price increases, consumers were surprisingly resilient. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Economics.
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What! How much do you need for a comfortable retirement?
Roger Montgomery
March 15, 2024
New spending figures published by the Association of Superannuation Fund of Australia (ASFA) define what it means to be comfortable in retirement. And while their numbers are well above the current age pension payments, I am not sure even those elevated numbers realistically measure up to what many, if not most, people would describe as comfortable. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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You don’t need to forecast to be a successful investor.
Roger Montgomery
March 14, 2024
With all the talk about a bubble in equities at the moment (I think we are a long way from the euphoria that typically defines bubbles), I thought it would be prudent to take a look at the recent forecasting track record of some of the biggest names in funds management and investment banking. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Private credit gaining momentum
Roger Montgomery
March 13, 2024
Predicting private credit will become a much more important part of investors’ portfolios and an asset class in its own right has been easy. Who wouldn’t want higher yields with low volatility? And as the oldest boomers’ approach 80 years of age, many are turning their backs on the stock market’s volatility, preferring regular income and total returns that, in some cases, have beaten the stock market. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Polen Capital.
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Australia’s younger generation will be homeless without their (grand) parents’ assistance.
David Buckland
March 12, 2024
According to CoreLogic, the median dwelling price for Australia is $760,000; the median dwelling price in the eight capital cities (6 States and 2 Territories) is $836,000, ranging from Sydney ($1.122 million) to Darwin ($522,000), whilst the median dwelling price for Australia’s regional towns is $605,000. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets, Property.
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High growth potential with small caps
David Buckland
March 11, 2024
In this week’s video insight, Gary Rollo and I engage in a discussion about the remarkable performance of the Montgomery Small Companies Fund and its implications for investors. With a backdrop of significant outperformance by the fund against its benchmarks, portfolio manager, Gary Rollo, unpacks the recent success stories of specific companies and the broader economic trends influencing small cap stocks. Spotlighting companies such as Life360 (ASX:360), Megaport (ASX:MP1), Superloop (ASX:SLC), and Audinate (ASX:AD8), we explore the underlying factors driving an average uptick of 45 per cent in just the initial weeks of the year. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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