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Popular Analysis that has no value
Roger Montgomery
May 5, 2020
In this video insight Roger discusses stock market analogs and attempting to predict what the market is going to do in the future. How effective are such analogs? Not very, because the companies that make up the market are impacted differently and because interest rates, government and central bank settings, labour and productivity are all dissimilar and the drivers of markets will cause a different reaction. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Video Insights.
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Some positive signs emerging
Tim Kelley
May 4, 2020
We have previously written at length about our assessment of the evolving COVID-19 crisis, and the way investors might think about navigating the challenging market conditions that came with it. While conscious of the fact that there are only so many articles on the topic that readers need to see, today we add further hay to the stack, but this time with a more optimistic slant. Some of the developments that have caught our eye recently are unambiguously positive and may prove to be important in shaping the market environment over the next 12 months. Continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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Bull or bear case for equities, here are some quality companies
Roger Montgomery
May 2, 2020
Whether you’re currently on the bear case or the bull case for global and Australian equities, we think investors need to be using this once-in-a-decade sell off to reset portfolios towards quality businesses, like some of the ones we discuss below.
Continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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Australian dividends forecast to be cut the most in the world
Andreas Lundberg
May 1, 2020
It should come as no secret that Australian companies are paying very high dividends in comparison to international companies. Compared to other major stock exchanges in the world, it is only the London Stock Exchange that has a higher dividend payout ratio – the portion of a company’s earnings that is paid out in dividend rather than retained in the company. Continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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Is it finally safe to buy?
Roger Montgomery
April 30, 2020
With the Australian market rebounding strongly, some investors could be experiencing a fear of missing out. But an analysis of economic conditions tells me there’s no rush to dive in. With the market looking expensive, so many uncertainties in the world, and a growing list of dilutive capital raisings, is it a good time to sit on your hands? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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