The artificial intelligence (AI) arms race shows no signs of slowing, and this week’s fourth quarter results announcement by Google, owned by Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG), suggests that significant investment is still seen as a necessity – especially when it comes to powering the next generation of AI models. Following the release of China’s DeepSeek, the question is not only whether the hefty spending is sustainable, but whether it truly gives U.S. tech giants the edge they’re hoping for? Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market Valuation, Technology & Telecommunications.

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Liquidity is a concept critical to understanding investment markets.

Back in mid to late 2022, we wrote several posts on our blog and articles in The Australian, compelling investors to consider and pay attention to the very low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios at which equities were trading. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

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Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to discuss market trends, noting that while disinflation and economic growth provide support, tightening liquidity could impact small caps this year. I highlighted real estate as an opportunity, where temporary setbacks, like the REA Group (ASX:REA) CEO’s resignation, may offer buying chances. Looking ahead, U.S. and China tensions and debt refinancing remain key risks, with history suggesting a potential market decline despite the bullish backdrop. You can watch my full interview here: Ausbiz – 2025 wildcards beyond the White House Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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Strong investment partnerships are built on shared values and a long-term commitment to delivering great outcomes for investors.  

That’s why we are proud of our partnership with Australian Eagle Asset Management one of Australia’s top performing managers, whose Long Only Equity strategy is celebrating 20 years today.  Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Montgomery News and Updates.

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REA Group (ASX:REA) has delivered a commendable 1H25 result, with revenue and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) beating consensus estimates, alongside early January listings showing promising growth. However, news of CEO Owen Wilson’s upcoming retirement and revised cost guidance provide uncertainty the market will need to digest. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.

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One of the biggest challenges for investors and market watchers – especially those with a shorter-term bias – is deciphering Federal Reserve (Fed) policy. Typically, they rely on headlines, media soundbites, and second-hand analyses. But every so often, it pays to look directly at what the Fed is actually saying. Below is a recap of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s most recent press conference – highlighting key quotes from Powell himself – so you can form your own views on where monetary policy and the economy might be headed. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.

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Last night, I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to talk about the growing calls for a market correction and why I don’t see the signs of a bubble. We also discussed how disinflation, economic growth, and liquidity are lifting equity prices, and the challenges of investing in new technology, with DeepSeek’s rise showing how quickly disruptors can shake up the market. We also covered the broader market and economic news and answered some questions from listeners. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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Yesterday morning, I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle to discuss U.S. President Trump’s newly imposed tariffs – 25 per cent on Mexico and Canada, 10 per cent on China, and their impact on inflation, interest rates, and global markets. We also covered the emergence of DeepSeek artificial intelligence (AI), Elon Musk’s support for Trump, and what I think it all means for the Australian economy.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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