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Could Trump’s ideology, backed by primary school maths, cause a market meltdown?
Roger Montgomery
April 5, 2025
Could it be possible that the markets are tumbling because Trump and his team can’t add, or worse, lied to hide a warped ideology?
President Donald Trump’s administration has rolled out sweeping “reciprocal tariffs” targeting over 180 countries in a move that has sent shockwaves through global financial markets and trade networks. Announced with typical Trump fanfare in the White House Rose Garden on 4 April 2025, Trump wielded a chart (Table 1) to underscore his point, claiming his measures would level the playing field and end decades of the U.S. being “ripped off” by its trading partners. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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The Business: ABC Television News – Recession fears
Roger Montgomery
April 4, 2025
Yesterday, I appeared on The Business – ABC Television News to discuss Trump’s newly imposed tariffs. Taking effect on ‘Liberation Day’, these tariffs have already sent ripples through global markets. Australia, along with the UK, Singapore and Brazil were all slapped with a 10 per cent tariff. China, Australia’s largest trading partner, was dealt a more severe blow with an additional 34 per cent tariff – bringing the total increase to 54 per cent since Trump took office. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.
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ABC Statewide Drive – The consequences of Trump’s tariffs on the global economy
Roger Montgomery
April 4, 2025
I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Radio’s Statewide Drive yesterday on ‘Liberation Day’, to discuss the consequences of Trump’s tariffs on the global economy.
We took a step back in time to explore the similarities between the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act and Trump’s newly announced tariffs. Given the striking similarities of these policies, we explored the consequences of the 1930s tariffs and considered the potential parallels for today’s global economy such as slowing global trade, slowing global growth, and the risk of recession. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Ausbiz – What’s the beef behind Trump’s tariffs?
David Buckland
April 4, 2025
I joined Ausbiz yesterday on ‘Liberation Day’ to the impact of Trump’s tariffs on Australia’s four major exports to the U.S. – beef, gold and precious stones, pharmaceuticals, and medical equipment. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in TV Appearances.
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Is now the time to invest in China and emerging markets?
Roger Montgomery
April 4, 2025
This week we kick off part one of our new video series, ‘investing in emerging markets’ with our investment partner in global equities, Polen Capital. I interviewed June Lui, a portfolio manager and analyst from Polen Capital’s emerging markets growth team. With over two decades of experience in the Chinese industry, June offers insight into the Chinese economy and where it is headed. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.
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The ASX needs a NAD+ pill
Roger Montgomery
April 3, 2025
On the surface, evidence shows that the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) may be at a crossroads. Companies like James Hardie are jumping ship for U.S. primary listings, Australian investors are piling into American stocks, and local unicorns like Canva might not even glance at the ASX for their big initial public offering (IPO) debut. It’s not a collapse – yet; remember, Guzman Y Gomez (ASX:GYG) chose Australia over a U.S. listing – but the cracks are starting to show. Is the ASX in trouble or just stuck in a tough spot? Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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ABC NEWCASTLE MORNINGS – THE GOLD RUSH
Roger Montgomery
April 2, 2025
I recently joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle to discuss the five key reasons behind why the price of gold has skyrocketing. The first reason being the volatility seen across the S&P 500, NASDAQ, ASX 200, and the Small Ordinaries Index. Additionally, interest rates in developing countries are declining – meaning investors are turning toward other assets (like gold). Thirdly, I highlight that gold is an inflation hedge, meaning its value tends to increase during periods of rising inflation. Geopolitical tensions across China/U.S. and in the Middle East are also a key reason as to why the price of gold is being driven up. And lastly, investors get a ‘fear of missing out’ and tend to invest in trends.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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TUAS is calling! Should you answer?
Roger Montgomery
April 2, 2025
TUAS (ASX:TUA) (pronounced ‘Too-as’) is a company we have written about on the blog several times. Back in April 2024 on a ‘Spark you F.I.R.E’ podcast with Jazz Sidana, I noted that it was difficult to establish a confident valuation on this company (which at the time held a share price of $3.84) given the lack of sufficient information available. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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