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Why it might be time to be greedy once more
Roger Montgomery
October 12, 2022
Currently, price-to-earnings ratios are at levels unseen since the 2020 COVID sell-off and the Global Financial Crisis. Many quality companies are now ‘on sale’. This is creating an ideal environment for judicious investors to take advantage of mis-priced businesses. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Why I think inflation is heading in the right direction
Roger Montgomery
October 12, 2022
With stocks on the rocks, everyone I bump into understandably wants to know if it’s a good time to buy equities – the lure of buying at the bottom is just too great for many to resist. Of course, I don’t have a crystal ball, but there are signs that inflation is heading in the right direction. And, if central banks stop hiking rates, then I think conditions could be ripe for the market to rebound. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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What New Zealand’s rate tightening cycle tells us
David Buckland
October 11, 2022
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand was the first English-speaking Central Bank out of the blocks in their tightening cycle. Commencing in October 2021, the RBNZ has increased its official cash rate on eight separate occasions to 3.50 per cent. Here are my observations on the impacts. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Aura Private Credit: Letter to investors 07 October 2022
Brett Craig
October 10, 2022
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) landed on a 25 basis point rise last week, which some are viewing as adopting a “wait and see” approach. The 25 basis point rise last week brought the official cash rate to 2.60 per cent, the highest rate we have seen in nine years. Continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group.
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Three scenarios that could kickstart a new bull market
Roger Montgomery
October 10, 2022
As you’ve no doubt noticed, the world’s market commentators, brokers and analysts have turned decidedly bearish. And they have good reason to be pessimistic. But this bear market will eventually end, to be followed by the next bull market. To my mind, there are three distinct economic scenarios that could kickstart the next upswing. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Know what you own: stocks vs. businesses
Polen Capital
October 7, 2022
Successful business owners are often said to be able to feel the pulse of the companies they lead. For instance, great restaurateurs know what dishes are most popular on the menu, who their regular patrons are, when suppliers will deliver fresh ingredients, and how much revenue is needed to cover basic expenses such as salaries and rent. Continue…
by Polen Capital Posted in Polen Capital.
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Aura Group’s private credit track record
Roger Montgomery
October 7, 2022
In this video, Brett Craig and Roger Montgomery discuss why private credit has been the preserve of high-net-worth investors, and why the banks pulled away from lending small amounts over the short term to small and medium businesses. Brett also reveals the Aura team’s track record in private credit through disruptive markets, how they navigate rising interest rates and the types of businesses for which they provide lending. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Editor's Pick, Video Insights.
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The tightening interest rate cycle is now biting
David Buckland
October 6, 2022
With the exception of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which commenced its monetary policy tightening cycle in October 2021, well ahead of their English-speaking counterparts – the other major English-speaking Central Banks have tried to play “catch-up football” in recent months to counter the multi-decade growth in inflationary expectations. Continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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