Media Room

  • MEDIA

    Ausbiz – Risks, opportunities, and the outlook for equities in 2025

    Roger Montgomery
    November 29, 2024

    Yesterday, I joined Ausbiz to share my thoughts on the outlook for Australian equities heading into 2025. We discussed how the current environment of economic growth and disinflation supports markets, but also the risks posed by rising valuations and global debt levels, which now sit at $312 trillion. With significant refinancing due in the next couple of years, tight liquidity could create challenges. I also talked about the opportunities in high-quality small-cap stocks, both locally and globally, and why innovative companies with pricing power remain a bright spot in the market.

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    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Small Caps, TV Appearances.
  • MEDIA

    November ABC Nightlife – Finance

    Roger Montgomery
    November 28, 2024

    Earlier this week, I joined Phil Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss the latest in finance. We explored the rise of Bitcoin and crypto ETFs, including their increased accessibility and the potential implications of President-elect Donald Trump’s vision for the U.S. as a leading repository for Bitcoin. I also highlighted the drawbacks of relying on charting and technical analysis compared to dollar cost averaging. We also addressed the challenges of navigating financial advice in the era of “finfluencers,” and where to find reputable information. Lastly, I shared insights into Warren Buffett’s recent decisions and what these moves reveal about Berkshire Hathaway’s strategy, while answering some of your questions along the way.

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    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
  • MEDIA

    Clear and present danger to sharemarkets posed by Republican presidencies

    Roger Montgomery
    November 25, 2024

    Immediately after Donald Trump’s election as the next president of the United States, market analysts began exploring historical correlations to assess potential implications for investors.

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    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, In the Press.
  • MEDIA

    November ABC Statewide Drive – Money Matters

    Roger Montgomery
    November 1, 2024

    Yesterday afternoon, I joined Jess McGuire on ABC Statewide Drive for the Money Matters segment, where we discussed the critical role of company boards during times of crisis. We explored how comnpany boards should approach challenging situations. The conversation highlighted the responsibilities of board directors to act swiftly and responsibly, balancing the interests of shareholders, managers, and the broader community. continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
  • MEDIA

    The Money Puzzle – Are wayward CEOs costing you money?

    Roger Montgomery
    November 1, 2024

    Last night, I joined James Kirby on The Australian podcast, The Money Puzzle, to discuss the crucial role company boards play in managing CEOs, particularly when poor leadership behaviour starts impacting shareholder value. With recent scandals involving companies like Qantas (ASX:QAN), WiseTech (ASX:WTC), and Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN), we examined how a CEO’s actions can significantly affect both public trust and financial returns for investors. We also took listeners’ questions and discussed the current advantages and disadvantages of artificial intelligence (AI).
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    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.
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  • MEDIA

    Ausbiz – AI’s winners and losers

    Roger Montgomery
    October 31, 2024

    In this morning’s Ausbiz episode, I discussed how generative artificial intelligence (AI) might ultimately benefit consumers more than shareholders. We explored the distinct roles within the AI landscape: “upstream” companies like Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) provide essential infrastructure, while “downstream” firms like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) apply the technology but face slowing profit growth. Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), interestingly, occupies a “midstream” position, balancing both infrastructure and application.  continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications, TV Appearances.
  • MEDIA

    Fear + Greed: Why the AI boom might be a bubble – for now

    Roger Montgomery
    October 29, 2024

    This week, I had a great conversation with Sean Aylmer on the Fear and Greed podcast, where we discussed the current artificial intelligence (AI) boom. We examined how companies operating upstream, such as Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), have reached new heights, and questioned whether downstream companies can effectively monetise AI to create value for investors – or if AI could become an innovation that primarily benefits society but falls short in generating substantial shareholder returns.

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    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.
  • MEDIA

    Ausbiz – How to tap into one of the fastest growing asset classes

    Roger Montgomery
    October 18, 2024

    In yesterday’s interview with Ausbiz, we discussed the rising importance of private credit as a key asset class, with projections indicating it could double by 2028 to nearly $2.8 trillion. I explained that traditional 60/40 portfolios are becoming less effective due to the increased correlation between bonds and equities. By reallocating part of the fixed income exposure to private credit, investors can achieve higher returns and fewer losing years. A portfolio mix of 40 per cent equities, 30 per cent fixed income, and 30 per cent private credit not only enhances performance but also reduces volatility, providing greater portfolio stability without compromising equity exposure. continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, TV Appearances.
  • MEDIA

    October ABC Nightlife – Finance

    Roger Montgomery
    October 16, 2024

    Last night on ABC Nightlife, I joined Philip Clark to discuss the challenges of predicting market turning points. We also explored the concerning state of China’s economy, where plummeting property prices and Xi Jinping’s attempts to shift towards a consumption-driven model akin to those of Australia, the U.S. and Europe could have significant impacts on Australia due to our strong trade ties. Lastly, we touched on Australia’s housing market, where both property prices and rents have surged dramatically since the COVID-19 pandemic.

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    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
  • MEDIA

    Ausbiz – New CEOs but same old mistakes…

    Roger Montgomery
    October 8, 2024

    In last week’s interview with Ausbiz, we discussed the recent accusations against Coles (ASX:COL) and Woolworths (ASX:WOW) for misleading shoppers about discounts. We explored how the new leadership at both companies, with female CEO’s, might bring a more nuanced and sensitive approach to crisis management. While Coles has taken a defensive stance, Woolworths’ more measured response could ultimately benefit their long-term brand value. Drawing from past examples like Qantas (ASX:QAN) and Exxon, I highlighted the importance of transparency and suggested that the supermarket that embraces change could gain a competitive edge in the market. 

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    by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.