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Roger joined Sean Aylmer on the Fear and Greed Podcast to discuss current market conditions. There’s plenty of negativity in the market right now, with a real risk of recession in the U.S. and in Europe as interest rates rise to combat inflation. But what does this mean for investors? At some point we will enter another bull market. Roger shares three scenarios that could kickstart another run up in sharemarkets in this podcast. 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.

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As nabtrade celebrates its 10^th birthday this month, they have created an exclusive investment series for their clients. In this piece I share an article on why this is a time for investors to rejoice rather than despair. Hear my words for investors in volatile times. Read: Is this time different?

by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.

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Penny Pryor published an article in Industry Moves discussing the launch of the Aura Core Income Fund. The Aura Core Income Fund is an open-ended fund which invests in a pool of Australian private debt assets including asset backed SME loans. Read the article: Montgomery Investment Management launches retail credit fund continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, On the Internet.

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Tony Yoo published an article in The Motley Fool  to discuss the why ‘Buy low, sell high’ is a timeless investment axiom, but it’s easier said than done. This means backing a company when it’s friendless among other investors. Buying in at such a time takes genuine courage. Through all the turbulence seen in share markets in 2022, one of the sectors that investors have abandoned is retail, especially those that sell discretionary products. The logic is that as interest rates rise, Australians will have less to spend. Has this ASX sector hit rock bottom? Is it time to buy in?

by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.

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Roger joined Philip Clark on ABC Nightlife to discuss whether interest rates will succeed in staving off a recession and how much of an impact we can expect on house prices. Today, CPI inflation has risen to 6.1 per cent and underlying inflation is 4.9 per cent. These are the highest rates in many years. There is a real economic challenge coming for the newly minted federal government.

Are continual interest rate rises the right approach to curbing a national recession?
Listen to the podcast here: ABC Nightlife 13 September 2022

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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The market is split on the investment case for consumer discretionary stocks. On the one hand, rate rises are designed to cool demand, and squeeze household cash flows and balance sheets. On the other hand, the labour market is strong, incomes are high, and people have savings buffers to draw upon. Roger joins Ausbiz to discuss the signs across the domestic and international economies that consumer demand is about slow. Watch: Why Roger is underweight consumer discretionary

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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Reading between the spreadsheet lines, the annual earnings season has given a few hints of what is to come for corporate Australia and the broader economy over the next year. The annual results of Australia’s top 200 listed companies is a scorecard of how they performed over the last 12 months, as well as what they’re hoping to achieve for the year ahead. Every reporting season has a few losers.

Roger Montgomery warns some retailers could be in for more pain as inflation rises and people refrain from spending. “Another after effect from COVID has been the persistent supply chain issues that companies are facing, and we saw companies like City Chic, Lovisa and Supercheap Auto responding to those supply chain difficulties by investing more in inventory,” he observed.

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Rachel Pupazzoni: Corporate Australia just received a glowing profit report card, but the outlook is not as rosy

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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Montgomery Investment Management unveiled the second fund to come out of its partnership with Aura Group, the Aura Core Income Fund.

Montgomery chair Roger Montgomery said “I am delighted Montgomery Investment Management can now offer a high-quality income solution for our retail clients and investors in partnership with Aura Credit Holdings working with Brett Craig, the portfolio manager.”

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Chloe Walker: Montgomery, Aura Group launch new income fund

Disclaimer  

Find out more about the Aura Private Credit Funds  

You should read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) or Information Memorandum (IM) before deciding to acquire any investment products.  

Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Returns are not guaranteed and so the value of an investment may rise or fall.  

This information is provided by Montgomery Investment Management Pty Ltd (ACN 139 161 701 | AFSL 354564) (Montgomery) as authorised distributor of the Aura Core Income Fund (ARSN 658 462 652) (Fund). As authorised distributor, Montgomery is entitled to earn distribution fees paid by the investment manager and may be issued equity in the investment manager or entities associated with the investment manager.  

The Aura Core Income Fund (ARSN 658 462 652)(Fund) is issued by One Managed Investment Funds Limited (ACN 117 400 987 | AFSL 297042) (OMIFL) as responsible entity for the Fund. Aura Credit Holdings Pty Ltd (ACN 656 261 200) (ACH) is the investment manager of the Fund and operates as a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR 1297296) of Aura Capital Pty Ltd (ACN 143 700 887 | AFSL 366230).   

You should obtain and carefully consider the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) for the Aura Core Income Fund before making any decision about whether to acquire or continue to hold an interest in the Fund. Applications for units in the Fund can only be made through the online application form. The PDS, TMD, continuous disclosure notices and relevant application form may be obtained from www.oneinvestment.com.au/auracoreincomefund or from Montgomery.  

The Aura Private Credit Income Fund is an unregistered managed investment scheme for wholesale clients only and is issued under an Information Memorandum by Aura Funds Management Pty Ltd (ABN 96 607 158 814, Authorised Representative No. 1233893 of Aura Capital Pty Ltd AFSL No. 366 230, ABN 48 143 700 887).  

Any financial product advice given is of a general nature only. The information has been provided without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. Therefore, before acting on the information contained in this report you should seek professional advice and consider whether the information is appropriate in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs.    

Montgomery, ACH and OMIFL do not guarantee the performance of the Fund, the repayment of any capital or any rate of return. Investing in any financial product is subject to investment risk including possible loss. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Information in this report may be based on information provided by third parties that may not have been verified.  

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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Australia’s largest companies rebounded strongly after two years of pandemic interruption, achieving a 56.3 per cent uplift in aggregate statutory profits over FY22.

Speaking to the Inside Investor, Roger Montgomery said there was no shortage of themes impacting earnings this year including inventory build for retailers, COVID-19 impacts, floods off the east coast, interest rate hikes, supply-chain constraints, war in Ukraine, labour shortages and soaring inflation.

Interestingly, aggregate cash levels fell from the highs reached in February. Part of this is explained by outflows for dividends declared in 2021, but it also highlights the aforementioned cost pressures including payments for additional inventory and higher costs for staff absenteeism. Subsequently, 27 per cent of businesses cut dividends, above the historic average.

Commenting on earnings season, Montgomery said results were “roughly in line” with his expectations.

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Earnings season: ASX profits boomed by 56pc

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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With earnings season over, it’s a good time to look at the winners, the losers, and the themes affecting investors. But markets are forward-looking, and as the free money era rolls over, investors are cautious on the outlook. Roger Montgomery talks to Sean Aylmer on this episode of Fear and Greed discussing what it all means for investors. 

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Podcast Channel.

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