Market commentary
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Recent data suggest the slowdown is just beginning
Roger Montgomery
July 16, 2019
The latest RBA rate cut indicates all is not well in the Australian economy, and retail and housing data seem to back this up. It’s time to be selective about where you invest. While sentiment might have improved of late, actual spending hasn’t picked up. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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If rates are low forever, can asset prices fall?
Roger Montgomery
July 9, 2019
There’s an increasing frequency of articles I have read suggesting that low rates are now a permanent feature of markets, as is the likelihood of central banks rescuing investors from themselves through the perpetual deployment of unconventional monetary policy tools. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Tough times for quantitative managers
Tim Kelley
July 2, 2019
Anyone following the financial media will probably know that the going has been tough for active managers recently, with only a smallish minority managing to outperform the market. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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Farewell Fiscal 2019, Hello Fiscal 2020
David Buckland
July 1, 2019
As fiscal 2019 has drawn to a close, let’s take a look at the year that was. In sporting parlance, it was definitely “a game of two halves.” Virtually all major indexes declined in the December 2018 half-year, however this proved temporary and the recovery in the June 2019 half-year was quite extraordinary. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Who should pay when your apartment block ‘moves in a downward motion’?
Andreas Lundberg
June 27, 2019
The recent, and well reported, examples of shoddy construction practices on high rise buildings have led some experts to warn that this is just the tip of the iceberg. The question for society is: who is responsible, and who should pay the costs of rectification? continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Market commentary
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WHITEPAPER
INTEREST RATES, THE BEST IT GETS. IT’S TIME TO DEPLOY CASH
Curious about the investment landscape in 2024? It appears that the current market offers a plethora of enticing opportunities for investors, a rarity not experienced since pre-pandemic times. This unique scenario stems from a confluence of factors, including elevated yields and comparatively rational equity valuations.
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Will a tech IPO bust drag the market down?
Roger Montgomery
June 6, 2019
Each day brings more news of another huge technology IPO, often by businesses that have never made a profit – and perhaps never will. But there are new signs that this latest tech bubble could be coming to an end. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Companies, Market commentary
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The biggest winners from the Federal Election
Stuart Jackson
May 23, 2019
The ASX All Ordinaries index jumped to an 11-year high immediately after the Coalition won the recent Federal Election. It was boosted in particular by share price spikes in the big banks and health insurers. Whether these gains are sustainable remains to be seen. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Companies, Market commentary
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Does it really matter if the RBA cuts again?
Roger Montgomery
May 16, 2019
The Reserve Bank of Australia recently opted to leave interest rates on hold. But with key parts of the economy in decline, it may be just a matter of time before it has to cut again. The question is: how effective will a rate cut be? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Are today’s high asset prices worth the risk?
Roger Montgomery
May 7, 2019
Central banks have signalled that, if required, they would support their economies by cutting rates even further. This means markets are not likely to crash any time soon. But with most asset prices quite toppy, are investment returns worth the risk of something going wrong? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Are we reading bond market signals the wrong way?
Roger Montgomery
April 10, 2019
There’s been a lot of talk of inverted yield curves in the US and whether they portend a recession or a stock market crash. But, I wonder whether we need to watch the yield curve as much as exuberance in stocks themselves? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
