Market commentary
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Macquarie offers three reasons to be optimistic
Roger Montgomery
September 16, 2020
With so many economies and businesses on their knees, numerous market commentators are pessimistic about the near-term future of global share markets. But Macquarie Bank’s Chief Economist and Global Head of Macro Strategy, Ric Deverell, is not one of them. He’s just released a chart pack that offers three reasons to be optimistic. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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What the Age of Disorder means for investors
Andreas Lundberg
September 16, 2020
As you’ve no doubt noticed, the news these days is awash with reports of social unrest across the world. It’s prompted Deutsche Bank’s global strategists to argue that we’ve entered the Age of Disorder. They point to six major trends that, together, support their thesis – and which could have a big impact on equity returns in coming years. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Market commentary.
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How COVID-19 has changed the way we spend
Roger Montgomery
September 9, 2020
New data from the Commonwealth Bank and ANZ confirms what you likely already knew – COVID-19 has spurred a major change in our spending habits. However, some of the retailers that have thrived during the lockdowns may find the going tougher in the months ahead. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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How long will markets stay out of whack with reality?
Roger Montgomery
September 8, 2020
One of my favourite childhood books was Dr Suess’s ‘Wacky Wednesday’ in which a boy wakes to find everything in the world is inside out, upside down or simply not as it should be. In the stock market these days, it seems every day is like Wacky Wednesday. But, like in the book, how long before we wake to find Wacky Wednesday has finally come to an end? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Are you a bull or a bear? Part 2: Reasons to be bullish
Roger Montgomery
September 2, 2020
In my last blog, I set out the reasons for being pessimistic about equity markets.Now let’s look at the reasons to be bullish. I’ll let you decide which case is more compelling, and I’d love to get your comments. With many of the bear arguments centred around a bubble in technology stocks, it’s worth beginning the bull case with those same technology stocks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Are you a bull or a bear? Part 1: Reasons to be bearish
Roger Montgomery
August 31, 2020
If you’re unsure whether to feel positive or negative about equity markets right now, you’re not alone. Investors are strongly divided on whether markets are fair value, or too expensive and about to collapse – and there are compelling reasons for both positions. Let’s look at the reasons to be bearish. In my next blog, I’ll look at reasons to be bullish. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Then and now: A history of financial year returns across major asset classes
Dean Curnow
August 27, 2020
Fiscal year 2020 will be a year remembered for low-interest rates, growing geopolitical tensions, a black swan pandemic, broad sweeping fiscal bazookas and of course arguably one the largest asset sell downs and retracements in history – have I missed anything? continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Market commentary.
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The firms that beat expectations this reporting season – and those that missed
Roger Montgomery
August 26, 2020
The majority of companies on the ASX100 and ASX200 have now reported. Many have beaten estimates. And, reassuringly, guidance is less negative than most market watchers had expected. This brings hope that FY21 may not be so bad for equity investors after all. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Is it time to invest in travel stocks?
Tim Kelley
August 24, 2020
As far as listed companies go, travel stocks are probably ground zero for COVID-19. They have been among the hardest hit in terms of business and share price impacts, and share prices generally remain well below their pre-COVID-levels. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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What if we get a vaccine but people refuse to be jabbed?
Roger Montgomery
August 19, 2020
Global share markets are being held aloft partly by the hope of a coronavirus vaccine coming sometime soon. But new research shows many people – including around 50 per cent of Americans – could refuse to get a jab. If that happens, then is it possible that what we are now living through will be the new normal? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
