Technology & Telecommunications
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NVIDIA Q3 Fiscal 2026 Earnings
Roger Montgomery
November 20, 2025
NVIDIA delivered another blowout quarter (Q3 2025 – ended 26 October, 2025 – released 19 November, 2025), significantly beating Wall Street expectations, and for some, partially alleviating (perhaps only temporarily) concerns about an artificial intelligence (AI) bubble. Demand for AI infrastructure remains extremely strong, with the new Blackwell graphic processing unit (GPU) architecture powering Nvidia’s latest high-performance chips for AI and Data Centres ramping faster than anticipated. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.
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MEDIA
ABC Nightlife – market downturn and the AI bubble
Roger Montgomery
November 20, 2025
I joined Phil Clark on Nightlife to explain why the market’s sharp fall may reflect growing doubts about the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. I argued that while AI is a powerful General Purpose Technology (GPT) that may change the world (like cars or the internet), it might not be as lucrative as investors hope. Today we’re seeing super-charged share prices, huge data-centre spending, complex vendor-financing deals and big losses at firms like OpenAI. Whether this proves a correction or a bust is unknowable, so my message to investors was simple: regularly rebalance and diversify beyond the AI winners.
Tune into the full episode from 4:49 here: ABC Nightlife Finance
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Market Valuation, Radio, Technology & Telecommunications.
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How General Purpose Technology Booms develop – Part One
Roger Montgomery
November 17, 2025
In this week’s video insight, I look at the dynamics behind major technology booms – from steam trains and commercial flight to the internet and now artificial intelligence (AI). In Part 1 of this two-part series, I outline the typical signs of a bubble: including soaring share prices, circular deals between companies, rising sales on credit, and financial engineering that makes growth look stronger than it truly is. We’re seeing many of these patterns in today’s AI boom. In Part 2, I’ll explain how these booms have typically unwound. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications, Video Insights.
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AI goes boom. Or boom?
Roger Montgomery
November 14, 2025
Investors must understand that correctly predicting artificial intelligence (AI) technology will change the course of humanity, even if for the better, does not automatically translate to desirable investment returns.
General Purpose Technologies (GPT) of the past, such as the automobile, electricity, commercial flight, steam locomotion and TV, have all changed the course of human history and yet more than a thousand car manufacturers have disappeared from the U.S. and none exist today that are profitable and have not been bailed out by government or private equity. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Is artificial intelligence stealing jobs?
Roger Montgomery
October 8, 2025
On November 30, 2022, the world marvelled at the release and conversational prowess of OpenAI’s ChatGPT. What the world might have missed, however, was the subtle shift that began rippling through the U.S. economy.
What started as a viral tech demo – capable of drafting emails, coding snippets, and even poetry – escalated into a full-blown revolution in large language models (LLMs) and artificial intelligence, now described as the fourth industrial revolution. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Technology & Telecommunications.
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MEDIA
ABC Statewide Drive – artificial intelligence euphoria
Roger Montgomery
October 3, 2025
Yesterday I joined Jess McGuire on ABC’s Statewide Drive to talk about the artificial intelligence (AI) boom and what it means for investors. While AI may well transform industries and benefit consumers, I cautioned that the rush into AI stocks has pushed valuations to bubble-like levels, where prices assume every company will succeed – something history tells us is impossible. High valuations typically mean lower future returns, and right now U.S. stocks are at record high prices. For investors, particularly those nearing retirement, my advice was simple: regularly rebalance portfolios by trimming back exposure to overheated assets and reallocating to alternatives such as private credit, small company funds, or cash — rather than panic selling — to stay defensive while still positioned for long-term growth. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Radio, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Optimism surrounds artificial intelligence numbers
Roger Montgomery
October 1, 2025
As I delve a little deeper into the aggregate artificial intelligence (AI) capital expenditure (capex) numbers and the revenue and profits subsequently required to recoup them, one thing stands out: a world of AI forecasts that are universally optimistic.
That’s not usual in any hype-inspired boom, but these numbers are extraordinary. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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The artificial intelligence gold rush & bubbles past
Roger Montgomery
September 29, 2025
Last week, The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) published a piece commenting on the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure frenzy. As an investor, one can’t help but be awestruck while also feeling concern and a more than a hint of déjà vu.
According to the WSJ, Ellendale, North Dakota, is a sleepy town of just 1,100 now playing host to a half-built AI data centre that’s will be larger than 10 Home Depots – the U.S. equivalent of a large format Bunnings Warehouse here in Australia. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Are the Magnificent Seven still magnificent?
Roger Montgomery
September 23, 2025
In 2025, so far, the seven most influential U.S. tech giants – The Magnificent Seven, or Mag 7 (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla and Nvidia) – have continued to assert their dominance and reinforce their role in determining the S&P 500’s trajectory. Despite what appears to be artificial intelligence (AI) hype, or perhaps because of it, the seven giants have collectively outpaced the broader S&P 500’s 12.47 per cent year-to-date (YTD) rise, delivering a gain of 15.9 per cent through Monday’s close. At the same time, however, their market-capitalisation share has dropped slightly from a peak of 32.2 per cent in mid-August to 31.3 per cent of the S&P 500’s total value. That indicates some stocks outside of the Mag 7 have been outperforming them. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Polen Capital, Stocks We Like, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Tuas: Roaring ahead with strategic acquisition and growth potential
Roger Montgomery
September 1, 2025
As we have previously reported, Tuas Ltd (ASX:TUA) is a rising star in the telecommunications sector. The company continues to solidify its position as a formidable player in Singapore’s competitive telecom market. Broker Peloton Capital has also been following the company closely and recently reported on a major acquisition. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Technology & Telecommunications.
