Insightful Insights
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Investors fear unknown as central banks lack firepower
Roger Montgomery
April 1, 2016
Since the global financial crisis, there have been over 600 interest rate cuts around the world and, according to one investment bank, more than $US12 trillion of bond purchases. Yet economic growth has not been stimulated enough to see anything resembling an economic recovery. What does it all mean?You can read all of the team’s press articles through browsing our media library, view more articles here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.
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The Evolving ASX
Tim Kelley
March 31, 2016
The chart below splits the market capitalisation of the ASX100 Index into GICS sectors, and shows the index as it was ten years ago (on the left) and the index as it is today (on the right). continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights.
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“The Next Economic Disaster”
David Buckland
March 31, 2016
In an empirical study detailed in his book “The Next Economic Disaster: Why It’s Coming and How to Avoid It”, Richard Vague concluded that crises occur when a country’s private sector debt exceeds 150 per cent of GDP; and when the level of private sector debt grows by 20 per cent (from say 140 per cent to 160 per cent of GDP) over a five year period. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Some Melbourne Flats suffer 30pc falls
Roger Montgomery
March 30, 2016
That property prices can slide without an increase in interest rates or unemployment is being missed by many commentators. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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The Business – ABC News
Roger Montgomery
March 30, 2016
In this interview with Ticky Fullerton, Roger discusses whether an over supply of property will result in a slowing of property credit growth, what that means for growth overall and are we paying too much for the banks?
You can listen to all of the team’s television interviews through browsing our media library, view more clips here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Financial Services, Insightful Insights.
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Can US house price falls happen here?
Roger Montgomery
March 29, 2016
We have all been reading and listening to the debate about Australian property prices and whether they are going to crash. It’s hard to ignore when august journals like The Sydney Morning Herald report, continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.
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The Online Travel Agent space
Russell Muldoon
March 29, 2016
One of the core tasks of an analytical role such as being an equity or business analyst, is really understanding what makes a business tick. Why does the business exist? Why do clients use their product or service? How do they monetise what they do? How sticky are their clients and how long will it last given the ever threat of competition and obsolescence? These are just some of the basic questions that always need to be asked when trying to understand a business and ultimately frame an investment decision. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Vita Group Limited
Scott Shuttleworth
March 24, 2016
Vita Group Limited (ASX: VTG) is an established operator of retail telecommunications product resellers. It holds a Master Agreement with Telstra Corporation (ASX: TLS) to run 100 Telstra retail outlets. This is a key driver of its performance over the last half a decade from which it evolved as an operator earning circa $7m in underlying earnings to $18m in FY15. continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Insightful Insights, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Incremental ROE
Ben MacNevin
March 23, 2016
Return on Equity (ROE) is a powerful metric to assess the value of a company, but investors must be careful to distinguish between Incremental ROE and Overall ROE with forward projections. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Crunch Time for Medibank’s Direct Sales Strategy
Stuart Jackson
March 23, 2016
APRA released December quarter data on the health insurance industry last month. This shows that private health insurance penetration fell for the first time in 10 years. While the percentage of Australian residents that had private hospital insurance only fell 0.1 per cent to 47.2 per cent, this will be of great concern to the Government given that falling coverage rates inevitably sees the healthcare burden fall back onto the public system. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Health Care, Insightful Insights.