Insightful Insights

Investor Daily’s Tim Stewart attended our recent live briefing and Q&A for investors and their advisers, and he picked up on our comments regarding short selling.  Interest in the Montaka Global Fund is significantly higher than we anticipated and in a low return environment that makes perfect sense. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Montgomery News and Updates.

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Following my blog entitled “The Next Economic Disaster” I thought it worthwhile exploring why Central Banks aren’t succeeding in their sworn fight against deflation.  continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.

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Make no mistake. The good times are over. That’s about as succinctly as I can put it. From now on returns from property and stocks in aggregate will be mediocre. Of course, the very best quality companies and properties will produce better returns but the averages, as measured by the All Ordinaries and median house prices, will disappoint.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Market Valuation.

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The chart below splits the market capitalisation of the ASX100 Index into GICS sectors, and shows the index as it was ten years ago (on the left) and the index as it is today (on the right). continue…

by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights.

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In an empirical study detailed in his book “The Next Economic Disaster: Why It’s Coming and How to Avoid It”, Richard Vague concluded that crises occur when a country’s private sector debt exceeds 150 per cent of GDP; and when the level of private sector debt grows by 20 per cent (from say 140 per cent to 160 per cent of GDP) over a five year period. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights.

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That property prices can slide without an increase in interest rates or unemployment is being missed by many commentators. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.

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In this interview with Ticky Fullerton, Roger discusses whether an over supply of property will result in a slowing of property credit growth, what that means for growth overall and are we paying too much for the banks?

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by Roger Montgomery Posted in Financial Services, Insightful Insights.

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We have all been reading and listening to the debate about Australian property prices and whether they are going to crash. It’s hard to ignore when august journals like The Sydney Morning Herald report, continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Property.

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One of the core tasks of an analytical role such as being an equity or business analyst, is really understanding what makes a business tick. Why does the business exist? Why do clients use their product or service? How do they monetise what they do? How sticky are their clients and how long will it last given the ever threat of competition and obsolescence? These are just some of the basic questions that always need to be asked when trying to understand a business and ultimately frame an investment decision. continue…

by Russell Muldoon Posted in Insightful Insights.

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