Economics
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Observing interest rates with Jim Grant
Roger Montgomery
June 12, 2014
James Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer famously observed that gold was “the refuge of idiots”. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Japanese CPI growth hits 23-year high
David Buckland
June 2, 2014
The make up of consumer price index (CPI) data in many countries is not necessarily closely related to the cost of living. For example, in the US, ‘everyday’ consumer expenditure on food and energy has less than a 25 per cent weighting on their CPI, and is excluded altogether from a ‘core’ inflation. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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Budget ideas
Russell Muldoon
May 19, 2014
Now the dust has settled on last week’s budget announcement, we have collectively come up with a number of ways that proposed changes to the budget may impact listed businesses, and provide some of these below. continue…
by Russell Muldoon Posted in Economics, Health Care, Insightful Insights, Market commentary.
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Ready. Set. Run!
Roger Montgomery
May 16, 2014
According to The Wall Street Journal: “Tight credit, restrictions on the ownership of multiple homes and an easing of prohibitions on alternative investments overseas have triggered a long-expected downturn in the Chinese residential housing market.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market Valuation, Property, Tourism.
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China Watch
Roger Montgomery
May 9, 2014
In February 2014, Robert Brusca, Chief Economist of FAO Economics, was quoted as saying: “U.S. imports are weak. And imports are closely linked to GDP. Weak imports suggest that there will be more weak GDP reports to come. That is bad news and it is the kind of bad news that trumps the good news”. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Energy / Resources, Insightful Insights.
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The China Effect
Roger Montgomery
May 7, 2014
In this interview with Ticky Fullerton on ABC’s The Business on 6 May 2014, Roger looks at the Chinese export and property industries, and how they impact the Australian economy. Watch here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets.
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China watch
Roger Montgomery
May 1, 2014
We believe China’s steel production is growing at the rate of 2-3 per cent per annum. Longer term, this – combined with the inevitably slowing economy and the increasing Australian supplies – is an obvious negative influence on the price of iron ore. And it’s something we’ve been warning investors about here on the blog for several years. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Energy / Resources, Insightful Insights.
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Bubble watch #8
Roger Montgomery
April 29, 2014
Following on from the very bearish view of future returns from technology stocks held and published by Seth Klarman at the beginning of the year – he noted Amazon.com was trading at 515 times earnings, Netflix at 181 times, Tesla Motors at 279 times, and LinkedIn at 145 times – we thought you might be interested in similarly bearish views of the US hedge fund team at Greenlight Capital lead by David Einhorn (pictured). continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Accumulators vs dissavers
Roger Montgomery
April 1, 2014
Chatting to Ross Greenwood on Radio 2GB on Tuesday April 1, I discuss the imminent end of the so-called accumulation age, owing to Australia’s ageing population, and what this means for investors approaching retirement age. Listen here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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Will Ukraine’s Cold War heat up?
David Buckland
March 31, 2014
Condemnation of Russia’s annexation of Crimea by Ukraine’s northern and western neighbours has been surprisingly quiet, and once again the US has been left to do the heavy lifting in terms of playing “global sheriff”. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets.
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