articles by Stuart Jackson
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Get set for weaker employment data
Stuart Jackson
July 19, 2022
Australia is currently enjoying the most buoyant labour market conditions since the 1970s. But how long can the low unemployment rate persist? As the saying goes, if something can’t go on forever, sooner or later it must stop. And with consumer and business sentiment both waning, surely it is just a matter of time. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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- POSTED IN Economics, Market commentary.
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What to make of the May retail sales figures
Stuart Jackson
July 6, 2022
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has just released retail sales figures for the month of May. Contrary to market expectations, sales remained strong. But is this as good as it gets before rising living expenses eat into discretionary spending? Or will the build-up in pandemic-related household savings, and our strong labour market, continue to drive growth in consumer spending? Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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- POSTED IN Consumer discretionary.
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What accelerating business loan book growth means for the banks
Stuart Jackson
June 7, 2022
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released lending and deposit statistics for April last week. The data shows a continuation of the acceleration in loan book growth, which is now running at its highest level since 2008. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Financial Services.
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The retailers that should weather the coming economic storm
Stuart Jackson
May 19, 2022
Conditions are about to get tougher for retailers as they face a perfect storm of falling incomes, galloping inflation, and rising interest rates. These impacts will crimp the discretionary spending power of many people. The one exception could be the under 25-year-old Gen Z demographic, who have fewer non-discretionary costs than other age groups. The retailers who sell to them could fare better than most. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Why Coles should benefit as food inflation starts to bite
Stuart Jackson
May 4, 2022
Suddenly we’re all talking about inflation – particularly food inflation, which has been spurred on by the recent floods. This ‘new normal’ should play well for the value end of food retailing, where the likes of Coles, Woolworths and Aldi are likely to grow market share at the expense of pricier retailers like Metcash. Coles’ recent sales update gives a glimpse of what’s in store. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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What to expect from bank net interest margins
Stuart Jackson
April 14, 2022
In this week’s video insight Stuart discusses the performance turnaround from the major banks, which is due to a change in the market’s outlook for net interest margins on the back of an expectation of rising rates. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Financial Services, Video Insights.
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Take heed of these four key risks, warns JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon
Stuart Jackson
April 10, 2022
Jamie Dimon is chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase – the world’s largest bank by market capitalisation – and has been included four times in Time magazine’s list of the world’s 100 most influential people. So his annual letter, released as part of the bank’s latest annual report, is worth reading. In it, Dimon points to four key risks facing all investors. Here is an overview of his letter. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Market commentary.
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Despite global concerns, we still like Aristocrat Leisure
Stuart Jackson
March 14, 2022
Global leader in gaming content and technology Aristocrat Leisure (ASX:ALL) has suffered a savage sell-off since November. The share price has dropped around 25 per cent as geopolitical issues weighed heavily on investors’ minds. But a recent roundtable presentation for investors should ease any concerns, and the company looks set to ride out the turmoil. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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Which retailers have weathered the market storm?
Stuart Jackson
February 1, 2022
In response to recent trading updates, the share prices of many listed retailers have been hit for six. With retail sales falling short of expectations, supply chain disruptions, and the risk of excess inventories, some investors have been spooked, and have headed for the exits. Happily, the price falls have not hit every business, and it’s interesting to see which retailers have won the market’s approval. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick, Stocks We Like.
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Why this business lender looks set to prosper
Stuart Jackson
January 25, 2022
Business loan books are growing at their fastest rate since the GFC, as firms start investing again and government support is pared back. One lender that is making hay is small business loan specialist, Prospa Group (ASX:PGL). Prospa is well positioned for accelerating revenue growth, and has a strong balance sheet to fund its growth. Continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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