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  • Higher interest rates equal lower PEs

    Why this market bounce has got me so perplexed

    Roger Montgomery
    June 11, 2020

    The 11-year bull market in global equities, which COVID-19 finally brought to an end, came to be derided as the most unloved bull market in history. So, what to make of the strong, and similarly disparaged, bounce since March? Many investors look to be pricing in better times ahead, but media headlines are telling a different story. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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    • POSTED IN Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
    Higher interest rates equal lower PEs
  • Why the HomeBuilder program is terrible public policy

    Andreas Lundberg
    June 11, 2020

    During the GFC, the Federal Government rolled out ‘Building the Education Revolution’ to stimulate the construction sector. The scheme had merit, as it helped to fund schools, which are long-term public assets. The same cannot be said of the recently announced, and seriously flawed, HomeBuilder program. Continue…

    by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Property.
    • 8 Comments
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    • POSTED IN Property.
  • New data confirms the meteoric rise of online shopping

    Stuart Jackson
    June 10, 2020

    The government-imposed COVID-19 lockdown accelerated a number of social trends. One of those was our increasing preference for online shopping. Recent data shows that even though the lockdown pushed total retail sales off a cliff in April, online sales shot up. And one retailer – Kogan – stood out from the pack. Continue…

    by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
    • 2 Comments
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    • POSTED IN Companies, Consumer discretionary.
  • Radio

    MEDIA

    ABC Nightlife – Why is the market so optimistic?

    Roger Montgomery
    June 10, 2020

    In this episode of ABC Nightlife Roger discusses why the stock market is powering ahead even though Australian should be in a recession. Listen to the interview for some of the reasons behind the optimism here.

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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    • POSTED IN Radio.
    Radio
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  • Crisis? What crisis? The market says it’s time to buy

    Roger Montgomery
    June 10, 2020

    If you’re scratching your head over the market’s strong rebound since March, then join the club. Because there’s still a large cohort of economists and analysts who continue to see tough times ahead. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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  • How should you think about the prospects for a vaccine?

    Tim Kelley
    June 9, 2020

    Gauging the possible extent and duration of the economic downturn resulting from the COVID-19 crisis is a challenging exercise with many unknowns. However, one thing is reasonably clear: in the event that a safe and effective vaccine becomes widely available, the threat posed by the virus will be much diminished and the path to recovery made far smoother. Continue…

    by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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    • POSTED IN Market commentary.
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    Roger Montgomery's Team
    June 9, 2020

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    by Roger Montgomery's Team Posted in Old Content.
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  • Beware trojan horses – The impassioned speech of Anastasia Lin

    Roger Montgomery
    June 5, 2020

    It is widely acknowledged that China knew about the Coronavirus outbreak in late 2019 but did not report the outbreak until the virus appeared in Taiwan. And while the tectonic economic and personal cost remains to be counted, what we already conclude is that our attitude to China and its business interests on our shores must change. Continue…

    by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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