When I joined the financial market in the 1980’s as a young graduate, I was given a simple rule from an old-timer which went something like this: “Son, the market PE plus long-term inflationary expectations should equal 20.” At the time, Australia’s inflation rate was coming down from 12 per cent, and the market PE approximated 8x. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Market commentary.

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The price-to-earnings ratios of many quality businesses have fallen sharply over the last six months.  In many cases, the falls were justified.  Now that valuations have dropped, I believe investors have a far better chance of making attractive returns.  The proviso, of course, is that you buy businesses that grow their earnings. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market Valuation.

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As highlighted in the preceding blogs, Macquarie Bank economists, Ric Deverell and Hayden Skilling, see darker times ahead for the US economy and equity markets in general, but a mixed picture for Australia due largely to our wealth of commodities. Meanwhile, they believe China will continue to grow. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.

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Polen Capital has an enviable track record of delivering overall out-performance and averaging double-digit annual returns for more than 33 years. Headquartered in Boca Raton in Florida, USA, the firm manages $80 billion in assets.

The Inside Investor recently met with Simon Gregory and Paul Williams from the Polen Capital investment team to discuss the “Polen style” of investing. Speaking about the expansion into Australia, Williams says, “we launched the first fund, Global Equities, about twelve months ago and expanded that to take into consideration the Global Smaller Mid-cap fund, late last year.” adds Williams. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press, Polen Capital.

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We have been asked by clients whether the $234m acquisition by Aeris Resources (ASX:AIS) for Washington H Soul Pattinson’s (ASX:SOL) Round Oak Minerals is a good deal? Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Energy / Resources, Stocks We Like.

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In this week’s video insight David discusses how rising interest rates will impact indebted households and the knock-on-effect. The psychological boost and wealth effect enjoyed from strongly rising house prices will likely be missing in the foreseeable future and this means indebted households are more vulnerable to Central Bank tightening late in this inflationary cycle. Continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary, Video Insights.

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Our partnership with the U.S. based Polen Capital has evolved since we formally announced the relationship in March last year. Since then, we have launched two of their strategies in Australia with a third, the Polen Capital Global Emerging Markets Growth Fund, in the works. The first strategy, the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund, is now accessible to investors via the BT Panorama platform. The fund is accessible to investors via Netwealth and HUB24 IDPS and Super/Pension. Continue…

by Dean Curnow Posted in Montgomery News and Updates.

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We all know that equity markets don’t travel in a straight line, and that has been the case for equity markets over the last couple of years. Looking back at some of the major events that investors and equity markets have had to contend with, and we can list a global pandemic, massive monetary and fiscal stimulus in response, lock-downs like never seen before, then re-opening, supply constraints coupled with strong demand, a Russian invasion on Ukraine, now inflationary pressures across the globe, interest rates on the rise and meanwhile companies are adapting to the changing environment but ultimately trying to execute on delivering the best products or services to their customers and generate growing profits. Continue…

by Scott Phillips Posted in Montgomery News and Updates.

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