Property
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Australian property update
Roger Montgomery
June 14, 2024
I recently wrote here about the economics of borrowing 100 per cent of the purchase price for a two-bedroom apartment, and the results weren’t compelling. Despite the annual losses incurred from carrying the property and the historical lack of sufficient capital gains to offset those losses enough to render the investment superior to an equivalent investment in private credit, most Australians will trip over themselves to own an investment property. Bragging rights at dinner parties and keeping up with the Joneses may have something to do with it. As they say, you can lead a horse to water… continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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Are we about to see increased property market volatility?
Roger Montgomery
May 30, 2024
Australia is currently witnessing challenging dynamics in the property market, where the costs and complexities associated with owning investment properties often outweigh the potential returns. Are high interest rates, increasing taxes, and rising maintenance expenses making property investment less attractive?
continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property.
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How much better off are you in a private credit fund versus an investment property?
Roger Montgomery
May 24, 2024
I recently met with a dear friend who was celebrating the full repayment of his mortgage. Putting aside the fact most people might think that’s an unusual milestone to celebrate, he used the gathering to discuss what investments he could fund by borrowing against his house. From the frying pan into the fire. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Aura Group, Property.
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How baby boomers won the genetic lottery
Roger Montgomery
May 22, 2024
Baby boomers won the genetic lottery in so many ways, not just because a whole chicken in 1973 was $1.09 (Figure 1).
Take Wayne, for example, born in Sydney in 1945 after World War II. As a teenager, he lands a job earning the national award wage of £13.80 per week. He changes his mind after a couple of years and decides to study engineering. University is free (no HECS), so he continued to work part-time while at university and became an engineer in 1965, earning the average wage of £1,145 per year. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
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House prices not getting cheaper anytime soon
Roger Montgomery
May 21, 2024
For almost a decade, I have described Australian residential property owners as a “protected species”; Whether we look at the banks, the banking system in its entirety, regulators, including the Australia Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA), the government and even individual politicians – many of whom own multiple residential investment properties – nobody wants to see property prices fall. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Property.
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I’m with Dick Smith on this one; Julie Inman Grant shows courage.
David Buckland
May 9, 2024
Both sides of politics and most businesses are obsessed with a “big Australia”. Dick Smith is one of the few on the opposing side of the narrative. And as the Minns NSW Government usurps local councils’ planning powers by announcing their support for residential property located within 400 metres of a train station to be turned into 8–storey apartment blocks and within 800 metres of a train station to be turned into 6–storey apartment blocks, infrastructure will inevitably be left behind, and many streets will become a carpark. More public golf courses will likely be stolen in the name of green space. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Property.
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Navigating the Victorian rental crisis
Roger Montgomery
May 8, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I explore the challenging dynamics of the Victorian rental market – a pressing issue that uniquely impacts both renters and investors. Amid a nationwide rental crisis, Victoria stands out due to its plummeting rental vacancy rates and the surprising exodus of investors from the market. Despite what seems like a prime scenario for property investors, with demand high and supply low, why are many opting to leave? I delve into the reasons behind the investor retreat, explore the economic forces at play, including significant tax increases and the broader implications of these changes. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property, Video Insights.
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The divided state of Australia’s property market
Roger Montgomery
March 29, 2024
In this week’s video insight, I explore the divided state of Australia’s property market, highlighted by the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) figures. With new home lending showing an unexpected decline, the market seems to be at a crossroads between tightening credit conditions and rising investor interest. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Property, Video Insights.
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Australia’s younger generation will be homeless without their (grand) parents’ assistance.
David Buckland
March 12, 2024
According to CoreLogic, the median dwelling price for Australia is $760,000; the median dwelling price in the eight capital cities (6 States and 2 Territories) is $836,000, ranging from Sydney ($1.122 million) to Darwin ($522,000), whilst the median dwelling price for Australia’s regional towns is $605,000. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Global markets, Property.
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Transferring the pain from the levered Chinese property developers to the banks
David Buckland
November 30, 2023
As China reflated its economy in 2015, we saw a massive five-to-six-year tailwind assisting the property boom. Speculation and strong property prices led to over-supply, and the eventual carnage experienced by most highly levered Chinese property developers over the past two years. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Property.
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