Market commentary

Warren Buffett is famous for his quips about the folly of investing in airlines, and once labeled the sector a ‘death trap’ for investors. But now he has changed his tune. What could have prompted this? And does it mean that airlines are now an extraordinary investment? continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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Most days you’ll see a company announcement about a director either cutting or boosting their shareholding.  These transactions often raise eyebrows.  After all, they must know something that we don’t, right?  So, should you sell when they sell, and buy when they buy? continue…

by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.

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In the wake of Donald Trump’s victory, I’ve been hearing a lot of Chicken Little-like fretting about what it means for stock markets and portfolios.  That’s fair enough because, to quote the legendary Sam Cooke, it looks like a massive change is gonna come.  So, as investors, how concerned should we be, and what should we be doing to preserve our wealth? continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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With election uncertainty finally out of the way, investors now need to grapple with a new question: how does this change in the US political landscape affect markets and market expectations?  Is it time to be greedy, or fearful?

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by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.

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I recently surveyed our portfolio and was stunned by the magnitude of the daily price moves. It was only 1.50pm yet APN Outdoor was up 4.32% on no announcement, TradeMe was down 2.77%, Healthscope was down 2.64% and Challenger down 1.92%.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.

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The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reflects global demand for major raw materials – like coal, iron ore and grain.  It is therefore a leading indicator of future economic activity.  So it pays to watch it closely.  Right now, the index does not fill us with confidence. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.

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Blackmores (ASX:BKL), which started the year as a ‘market darling’, trading at around $220 per share, is now trading closer to $110.  Not only that, it’s also one of the most heavily shorted stocks on the ASX200.  Is BKL’s fall justified, or has the market overreacted? continue…

by Tim Kelley Posted in Companies, Market commentary.

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One of the most important reasons for investing is to build up enough assets to support us post our working lives. Not many of us want to rely on the forever-reducing government pension! So it’s only natural to ask: “how long can I expect to live?” continue…

by Scott Phillips Posted in Market commentary.

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I have previously explained how, in an environment of low interest rates (that will eventually rise), and record high asset prices (that will eventually decline), now is the time to instruct to your adviser to investigate alternative strategies such as market neutral funds. After reading today’s blog you may be asking your adviser or the team at the family office team to ‘speed it up’.

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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The warnings of an impending financial crisis are starting to come in from all corners.  So, maybe they’re worth listening to.  If the warnings materialise, Australia looks to be lining up for something much worse than anyone is anticipating, and we may not escape quite as easily as we did during the GFC. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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