Market commentary
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Does criticism of Buffett signal a market top?
Roger Montgomery
February 28, 2019
For 10 years now, the S&P 500 has been on a run, soaring from under 800 points to around 2800 points. But is this as good as it gets for now? Warren Buffett seems to think so. And criticism of his recent investment decisions could signal that the market is due a breather. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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How much volatility should we expect in 2019?
Roger Montgomery
February 27, 2019
The recent gyrations in world markets have befuddled investors, short sellers and commentators alike. I think we’ll see more of the same in 2019/20. Will this present good buying opportunities for investors who like to buy on the dips? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Why we think the market is still overvalued
Roger Montgomery
February 7, 2019
The recent falls in stock prices around the world have tempted many investors to dive in and grab some value. But we think this could be jumping the gun – many stocks could still have further to fall. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Market commentary.
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Putting the recent global correction into perspective
Scott Phillips
February 1, 2019
As most Australians venture back to work throughout the month of January, it will be somewhat of a relief that global equity markets have staged a U-turn from the previous quarter and look set to post a solid positive return for the month (as at the time of writing, being 25/1/19 the MSCI World index MTD was 4.5 per cent higher). continue…
by Scott Phillips Posted in Market commentary.
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The year ahead, tell us what you think
Dean Curnow
January 25, 2019
Through late-December I was lucky enough to be on holiday with my partner and her family in sunny Hawkes Bay, New Zealand. Some of my joy was clouded by the wave of headlines, and seeing the performance numbers for December across world markets. continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Market commentary.
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Early signs of the negative wealth effect
David Buckland
January 17, 2019
The negative wealth effect from falling residential property prices combined with the podium position for Australian Household Debt to GDP (120 per cent) and Australian Household Debt to Disposable Income (200 per cent) is starting to bite. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Farewell 2018, Hello 2019
David Buckland
January 2, 2019
As 2018 has drawn to a close, let’s take a look at the year that was. Excluding dividends, the Australian market declined 7.5 per cent over 2018 to 5,709 points. By August, the market was at 6,460 points, and the all-time high of 6,850 points recorded in November 2007 appeared to be within reach. However, the final four months of the year was a rough period for most equity investors. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Market commentary.
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Should you participate in a share buy-back?
Joseph Kim
December 12, 2018
The Federal Labor Party has stated it would change the dividend imputation system if returned to power in 2019. This is expected to see a spike in the number of off-market share buy-backs. The big question for investors is: should you participate? continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Interest rates rise, asset prices fall, and cash is king again
Roger Montgomery
December 5, 2018
In recent months, interest rates have been rising globally, exerting a downward gravitational pull on the value and price of most assets. It’s a trend that’s likely to play out for some time. And that’s why it makes sense to be holding cash. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Components of a recession
Joseph Kim
November 30, 2018
Given the recent movements in global financial markets, including greater volatility and proliferation of warnings concerning the next recession, I felt it was worth highlighting one of the more interesting research pieces I have read recently by JP Morgan’s Global team for a broader macro perspective on how asset prices move in a recession / financial crisis. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Market commentary.
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