Global markets
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US equities will head higher in 2020, says Credit Suisse
David Buckland
December 5, 2019
Our friends at Credit Suisse have fished out the crystal ball to give us a snapshot of the likely year ahead for US equities. The good news is that next year should deliver more solid returns for investors. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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All Eyes on the US Government Ten-Year Bond Yield
David Buckland
November 15, 2019
There are many factors which have driven the US Government Ten-Year Bond Yield down over the 35-year period from 15.85 per cent in the September Quarter of 1981 to 1.35 per cent in the September Quarter of 2016. While I will discuss these factors in more detail in an upcoming blog, what has struck me is that over recent weeks we have seen the US Government Ten-Year Bond Yield jump by nearly 0.5 per cent from close to a record low of 1.45 per cent to the current 1.93 per cent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Aussie cash rates down from 6% to 1% since the GFC
David Buckland
September 10, 2019
In this week’s video insight David takes a look the journey of interest rates. Over the decade since the Global Financial Crisis – and despite record low interest rates – Central banks are fighting a relatively low growth and low inflation environment, and they don’t seem to be winning. Why?
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary, Video Insights.
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The case to invest globally just got stronger
Roger Montgomery
July 25, 2019
Right now, there’s no shortage of analysts cautioning investors that equities are over-priced, given that many businesses are sitting on elevated, if not euphoric, multiples. But looking more closely, is it the right time to switch out of cash and into global equities? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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Are we reading bond market signals the wrong way?
Roger Montgomery
April 10, 2019
There’s been a lot of talk of inverted yield curves in the US and whether they portend a recession or a stock market crash. But, I wonder whether we need to watch the yield curve as much as exuberance in stocks themselves? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Three observations from China’s economy important to Australian investors
Roger Montgomery
April 4, 2019
There’s a lot going on to keep our attention this year. Our expectations remain that volatility has returned to more normal levels, after a long period of minimal volatility. And there are many triggers for volatility. However, investors should also be keeping an eye on China. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Does criticism of Buffett signal a market top?
Roger Montgomery
February 28, 2019
For 10 years now, the S&P 500 has been on a run, soaring from under 800 points to around 2800 points. But is this as good as it gets for now? Warren Buffett seems to think so. And criticism of his recent investment decisions could signal that the market is due a breather. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Market commentary.
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Christmas rally after Trump and Xi agreement at G20 Summit in BA?
David Buckland
December 3, 2018
Over the weekend at the G20 Summit in Buenos Aires, US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to temporarily halt the next round of tariff increases, to be imposed from 1 January 2019 where US$200 billion of imports from China were set to jump from 10 per cent to 25 per cent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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How the rising US 10-year bond yield could affect your portfolio
Joseph Kim
October 11, 2018
Macro considerations are not a major driver of investment decisions at Montgomery. But when we assess the potential risks and returns of a business, we still need to be aware of major global developments. Right now, a key development is the rising US 10-year Treasury bond yield – which could have a big impact on a number of stocks. continue…
by Joseph Kim Posted in Global markets.
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Four predictions for global markets
Roger Montgomery
September 27, 2018
Ten years after the global financial crisis, and following a sustained rebound in world markets, predictions of gloom are coming in thick and fast. How concerned should we be that the good times are coming to an end? To help you reach some kind of conclusion, I’ve included the latest forecasts from four industry leaders. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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