Economics
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Bubble Watch #15
Roger Montgomery
October 22, 2014
Businessweek reports: “Billionaire Stephen Schwarzman, who oversees the largest manager of alternative assets as Chief Executive Officer of Blackstone Group LP (NYSE: BX), said the recent declines in financial markets are an “overreaction.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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RBA’s AUD expectations
Ben MacNevin
October 14, 2014
Guy Debelle, an Assistant Governor at the Reserve Bank of Australia, recently discussed the prospect of a violent sell-off in markets. His use of the word “violent” is bold, given the RBA is known for its nuanced language. It was his discussion regarding investor reactions which we found most interesting. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Arthur or Martha?
Roger Montgomery
October 8, 2014
In my morning news trawl, I came across an interesting article on Bloomberg this morning. I have copied an excerpt below, and should you be so inclined, you can read the full article here. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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Time frames and iron ore
Tim Kelley
September 17, 2014
So much of investing comes down to time and perspective.
In the short term, the market is awash with random noise – and one of the best things an investor can do is keep it away from their investment decision-making. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Economics, Energy / Resources.
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The US Labour Market: Inflation not dead and buried
David Buckland
September 9, 2014
With US ten-year bonds range trading between 1.5 per cent and 3.0 per cent over the past two years, there is a view that US inflationary expectations are dead and buried. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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The Economic Scene, according to the RBA
Ben MacNevin
September 5, 2014
Following the September Board meeting, the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has provided a very thoughtful perspective of the Australian economy and the RBA’s view on asset prices. It’s well worth a read. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights, Value.able.
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House prices to crash? Ask your barber!
Roger Montgomery
September 2, 2014
Writing for Finsia’s InFinance daily report, Robin Christie has quoted the Big Four banks’ head economists speaking at the AB+F Breakfast with the Economists event in Sydney late last week. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Financial Services, Insightful Insights.
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Bubble watch #12 – we’re getting closer
Roger Montgomery
August 27, 2014
Journos are calling it a melt-up; economists are calling it a bubble. Here at Montgomery we’ve been writing since November last year that investors could expect rising asset prices (read: stocks and property) thanks to a regime shift at the US Federal Reserve under Janet Yellen. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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Is the Sky Falling?
Roger Montgomery
August 21, 2014
This morning, we read with interest the views of Chris Watling from Longview Economics, who believes the Fed is underestimating the strength of the US economy. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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Looking at: the unemployment rate
Ben MacNevin
August 20, 2014
In July, Australia’s unemployment rate on a seasonally adjusted basis increased to 6.4 per cent, which is above the US unemployment rate. This trend has important implications for the economy and the share market. continue…
by Ben MacNevin Posted in Economics, Insightful Insights.
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