Video Insights

In this week’s video insight Roger discusses how the fate of equity markets now hinges materially, but not solely, on the employment picture and the how central banks navigate the very serious choice they have to make between inflation or recession. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Video Insights.

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In this video insight Roger discusses current market conditions with equities having rallied off the lows recently thanks to a lower oil price and a retreat in bond yields amid fears of a recession. Have we reached the bottom yet? continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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In this week’s video insight David identifies why he is less pessimistic about rising official cash rates than many commentators, and with the damage done to share prices since late-2021 why we might soon be provided with some good opportunities to buy high quality businesses at very reasonable prices. continue…

by David Buckland Posted in Video Insights.

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In this week’s video insight Roger discusses what could be next for the stock market. We already know that P/E ratios have compressed considerably, and taken into account all of the increase in bond rates. What they haven’t done, of course, is priced a very significant recession, nor have they priced the possibility of a financial crisis of any description. But what happens if rates stop rising, and if economies don’t go into a recession, and we don’t get a financial crisis? continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary, Video Insights.

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In this week’s video insight Roger discusses how the higher interest rates expected from the U.S. Federal Reserve are almost entirely responsible for the sell-off in the stock market, causing the Price Earnings (P/E) compression we have seen to date. Unless the Fed surprises with even more aggressive rate hikes, the future direction of the market should now be determined by earnings growth. continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Video Insights.

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In this week’s video insight Roger discusses why setbacks are a necessary part of investing, especially for those keen to realise better returns. Remembering that the lower the price you pay, the higher your returns, it makes sense that we should welcome market pullbacks. Eventually, there will be an end to rising interest rates and eventually, inflation will peak.  continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary, Video Insights.

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In this video Damian Bird highlights portfolio movements during the March quarter. A new position was added, TSMC, Taiwan’s leading semiconductor foundry. For more than 20 years, the company has delivered returns on its internally invested capital of approximately 20 per cent well in excess of its cost of capital. Despite the heightened levels of volatility we are currently seeing in the markets, we continue to expect our companies to report robust earnings growth as they move through 2022. continue…

by Polen Capital Posted in Polen Capital, Video Insights.

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In this week’s video insight Andreas looks at how honest people are when filling in their mortgage applications. The portion of people who say their applications contained some misrepresentation declined from last year’s level of 41 per cent but remains high at 37 per cent. All major four banks, apart from ANZ, also saw a decline in misrepresented applications.

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by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Financial Services, Video Insights.

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There is no doubt the changing landscape will impact many companies globally, but Polen Capital seek to own companies that can thrive and survive in any environment, including this one. That focus is unchanged. Portfolio Manager Rob Forker provides an update on portfolio positioning, using the current volatility in the market opportunistically and buying companies Polen have researched and known for years, but where we had concerns about valuation. continue…

by Polen Capital Posted in Polen Capital, Video Insights.

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Many companies, during the first quarter, reported a slight deceleration in growth as a result of the pull forward dynamics from COVID. And many of these companies suffered significant selloffs as a result of this deceleration. As long-term investors, Polen Capital exploited these price movements by adding to our positions. Portfolio Manager Jeff Mueller reviews first quarter 2022 in this video. continue…

by Polen Capital Posted in Polen Capital, Video Insights.

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