Global markets
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Macquarie analysts issue a warning about the rising debt wave
Roger Montgomery
February 21, 2017
Analysts at Macquarie Research, Viktor Shvets and Chetan Seth, have just released an excellent piece titled ‘Surfing the debt wave. Don’t look down’. In it, they focus on global debt, wealth inequality, weak productivity growth, the velocity of money and the balance sheets of central banks. For investors, it’s a timely reminder of the big issues facing the world’s main economies. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Has Italy’s economy hit crisis point?
Scott Shuttleworth
February 13, 2017
These days, most investors looking beyond our shores are focused on the US. But the situation in Europe is also worth watching closely, particularly in Italy – the world’s eighth biggest economy – which appears to be in dire straits. continue…
by Scott Shuttleworth Posted in Global markets.
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Warning signs from China mean it’s time to check your exposure
Roger Montgomery
February 13, 2017
When the Chinese government recently tightened capital controls to further reduce capital outflows, it sent a message to the world that all is not right with its currency. According to some analysts, China’s problems are big enough to seriously rattle global markets. For investors, it’s therefore time to check your portfolios for direct and indirect exposure to China and China-exposed businesses and industries.
continue…by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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The UK could soon see stricter rules around CFDs
Tim Kelley
December 8, 2016
One path to profit in financial markets is to understand the cognitive biases that can make investors behave irrationally, and take advantage of their mistakes. For example, when prices are pushed out of alignment by panic selling or euphoric buying, a measured investor can try to benefit by taking the other side of the trade. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Global markets.
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Asia’s middle classes stoke a digital revolution
David Buckland
November 21, 2016
America is still an economic and military powerhouse. But when Donald Trump is inaugurated as America’s 45th president in January 2017, he could find it’s not so easy to win a trade war with Asia’s rising economies, and their growing middle classes. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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Why the rise in bond rates has hammered some good businesses
Stuart Jackson
November 8, 2016
A move up in bond rates, like we’ve seen over the last two months, inevitably feeds into the valuations of growth stocks. Add in any concerns about the near term outlook and the share price movement can be really extreme.
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Global markets.
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IDP looks like being a Brexit beneficiary
Stuart Jackson
October 19, 2016
When Britain voted to leave the EU back on 23 June, it sent the British Pound (GBP) into a tailspin. It’s depreciated 18 per cent against the USD and AUD since the day before the vote. Brexit, and the weakened GBP, will have a material impact on the earnings and valuations of a number of ASX-listed companies doing business in the UK. But not all.
continue…by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Global markets.
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POSTED IN Companies, Editor's Pick, Global marketsTaggedBrexit, IDP Education
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Is Deutsche Bank about to bring on a fresh financial crisis?
David Buckland
September 30, 2016
According to the IMF, “Among the globally systemically important banks, Deutsche Bank (DB) appears to be the most important net contributor to systemic risk”. So the news engulfing Deutsche Bank is a big concern for global markets – or at least it should be. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Financial Services, Global markets.
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POSTED IN Financial Services, Global marketsTaggeddeutsche bank, IMF
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Investors: watch out if long bond rates kick up
Roger Montgomery
September 28, 2016
Arguably the greatest risk to investors today is an under appreciation of how significant a change in bond interest rates will be. And these rates can change even if central banks don’t raise their own short-term offerings. So discussions about what the US Federal Reserve bank does with the fed funds rate, or the Reserve Bank of Australia through its own open market operations, aren’t particularly helpful. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Spiralling debt is pouring fuel on investor anxieties
David Buckland
September 26, 2016
These days, it’s not easy for investors to feel relaxed and comfortable. Pouring more fuel on investor anxieties is a report by the Bank of International Settlement that shows global debt spiralling out of control. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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POSTED IN Global marketsTaggeddebt, interest rates