Global markets
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US reporting season & earnings
Dean Curnow
May 13, 2020
With the U.S reporting season almost done and dusted, I thought I would share with our wider audience some interesting charts I have collected throughout the period. Whilst the commentary has started to turn to loosening the lockdown provisions and a return to normal, it is now key to track how companies earnings have and will continue to be impacted and how quickly management and the market can expect a recovery. continue…
by Dean Curnow Posted in Global markets.
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Are you taking a longer-term view?
David Buckland
May 7, 2020
Currently, the US S&P 500 stands at 2,870 points, down 15 per cent from its February 2020 peak. (Meanwhile, the Australian All Ordinaries Index at 5,450 points is 25 per cent below its peak). On most fundamentals, markets have justified high valuations on the back of historically low interest rates. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Has a down-leg commenced?
David Buckland
April 27, 2020
With the S&P 500 and the Australian all Ordinaries Index possibly stalling in the terms of the most recent rally at 2,870 points and 5,550 points respectively, I have received a few telephone calls from investors asking, “has the Wave C down-leg commenced?” continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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The US S&P 500 in context
David Buckland
April 8, 2020
Since peaking on 19 February 2020 at 3,394 points, the US S&P 500 declined by 1,202 points or 35 per cent to 2,192 points recorded on 23 March. The ensuing 565 point rally (up 26 per cent) to last night’s post-crash high of 2,757 points (Tuesday 7 April) is a 47 per cent retracement of the decline, but still 19 per cent from the record high. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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The beautiful game
David Buckland
April 1, 2020
19 February 2020 will go down as the date when many global share markets peaked. Also, on that day was a Champions League (soccer) match between the Bergamo team, Atalanta, and the Spanish team, Valencia, at the famed San Siro Stadium in Milan. Attending were more than 40,000 Bergamaschi, making the 55-kilometre trip to watch their beloved team. Many unknowingly had the Coronavirus, as cases were being reported with great frequency some days later; and Bergamo soon became the worst hit Province in Italy. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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Why COVID-19 could deliver more pain for investors
Roger Montgomery
March 31, 2020
With markets bouncing off their recent lows, it seems many investors are taking comfort from news that China’s COVID-19 outbreak appears to be ending. But I’d advise readers to treat this news with a bit of skepticism. Because, looking at the data, there’s a high chance of more bad news to come. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets.
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Rain Man and the Australian All Ordinaries Index (Part 2)
David Buckland
March 24, 2020
There have been seven bear markets since the early 1970s. That’s an average of one every seven years. Five of the bear markets, being 1974-75, the early 1980s, the early 1990s, the early 2000s, and the GFC from late 2007 until early 2009, all took approximately eighteen months to play out and all lost approximately 50 per cent from peak to trough. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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What nobody’s talking about…yet
Roger Montgomery
March 12, 2020
Our analysis of the COVID-19 data indicates that as testing increases so do confirmed cases. This may seem obvious once articulated but the reality is that in February the United States – a country of 340 million people – was conducting a total of 92 tests per day! continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Health Care.
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How value investors could benefit from this market correction
Roger Montgomery
March 12, 2020
It’s been a tough few years for value investors, with value stocks now trading at the largest discount to growth stocks since the 1999 tech bubble. But I think the discount will close as the market correction separates quality businesses from expensive, high beta, high hope stocks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Why we need to focus on earnings expectations
David Buckland
March 11, 2020
Ever since Paul Volcker, the US Federal Reserve Chairman, tamed the inflation genie in the early 1980s we have seen the US ten-year bond yield decline from 15.84 per cent to the current record low of 0.54 per cent. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Global markets.
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