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How should you think about the prospects for a vaccine?
Tim Kelley
June 9, 2020
Gauging the possible extent and duration of the economic downturn resulting from the COVID-19 crisis is a challenging exercise with many unknowns. However, one thing is reasonably clear: in the event that a safe and effective vaccine becomes widely available, the threat posed by the virus will be much diminished and the path to recovery made far smoother. Continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Market commentary.
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Beware trojan horses – The impassioned speech of Anastasia Lin
Roger Montgomery
June 5, 2020
It is widely acknowledged that China knew about the Coronavirus outbreak in late 2019 but did not report the outbreak until the virus appeared in Taiwan. And while the tectonic economic and personal cost remains to be counted, what we already conclude is that our attitude to China and its business interests on our shores must change. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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A bull at a gate…
Roger Montgomery
June 3, 2020
While US consumer spending, the US economy’s fundamental driver, fell 13.6 per cent in April, and recorded the steepest decline since 1959, the data is now a month old. More recently, the US Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Manufacturing Index for May rose to 43.1 from an 11-year low of 41.5 in April, suggesting the economy is rising up off the matt after being KO’d. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Why car sales could be headed for a fall
Roger Montgomery
June 2, 2020
Lately, we’ve seen a decent bounce in second-hand car sales, which is reflected in the rising share price of Australia’s largest listed car dealer, AP Eagers. But the big concern for dealers is that this uplift is being caused by the government’s economic stimulus measures, and that times will get very tough when the stimulus ends. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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- POSTED IN Companies.
