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ABC Newcastle Mornings – February 2024
Roger Montgomery
February 19, 2025
I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle radio yesterday to discuss the potential impact of rate cuts, the key drivers of the U.S. market’s strong performance, and what investors should focus on moving forward. We also touched on how markets are reacting to the deferral of tariffs, adding uncertainty to the outlook. Given these factors, I emphasised the importance of focusing on businesses with steady earnings growth rather than trying to predict macroeconomic trends, as long-term returns will ultimately reflect the strength of the underlying companies. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.
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Disinflation’s bumpy road
Roger Montgomery
February 19, 2025
Last year, the stars were aligned for gains in equities. In 2023, we alerted investors to three key ingredients pointing in the right direction for 2024. Disinflation, positive economic growth and a massive injection of liquidity all helped investors feel confident about piling into the AI thematic, which drove equity indices to new all-time records. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics.
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CSL’s mixed half-year: plasma strength offsets vaccine weakness, bright outlook maintained
Roger Montgomery
February 18, 2025
CSL (ASX:CSL) has posted its half-year results, delivering results that are best described as mixed. At the headline level, revenue climbed around five per cent, while net profit after tax and amortisation (NPATA) also nudged upward in the low single digits. Beneath these top-line numbers, the company reported a robust rebound in plasma collections, which was offset by weaker sales of its Seqirus influenza vaccines. Despite these mixed signals, management has reaffirmed guidance for FY25, projecting 10-13 per cent NPATA earnings per share (EPS) growth and a five to seven per cent lift in revenue. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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JB Hi-Fi delivers (again)
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2025
JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX:JBH) has again outperformed market expectations with its first-half of 2025 (1H25) earnings results. JB Hi-Fi continues to demonstrate its knack for navigating economic uncertainty while driving shareholder returns through impressive cash generation and dividends. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies.
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The Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s stellar result
Roger Montgomery
February 14, 2025
The largest position in The Montgomery Fund’s portfolio, at almost eight per cent of the portfolio, is the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA), purchased back when the price was below $78 per share. This week, the company released its December half-year profit results, revealing a business reinforcing and extending its competitive advantages in a fiercely competitive market. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Stocks We Like.
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Breville Group’s half-year results
Roger Montgomery
February 13, 2025
Breville Group (ASX:BRG) is a high-quality company, profitably held in the Montgomery Small Companies Fund. Breville released its half-year earnings this week – and the numbers point to a robust underlying performance. Nevertheless, investors will debate whether the guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year is deliberately conservative or signalling a more challenging road ahead. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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Nick Scali reports strong 1H25 results
Roger Montgomery
February 12, 2025
Nick Scali Limited (ASX:NCK), a holding in the Montgomery Small Companies Fund has released its half-year 2025 (1H25) results. Despite the mixed headline picture, Nick Scali’s 1H25 results outperformed consensus estimates. Continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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How DeepSeek has exposed the short lifespan of monopolies
Roger Montgomery
February 12, 2025
What are the best businesses? The answer to that question is “monopolies” and investors need to ask whether the current crop of artificial intelligence (AI)-driven large language models (LLM’s) and the suppliers of their chips, storage and energy need have the monopoly characteristics they assumed.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.
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