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Leighton’s share price: something stinks!

steaming-pile-of-shit

Leighton’s share price: something stinks!

Should ASIC investigate the trading of shares in Leighton Holdings Limited (ASX: LEI) in the days leading up to this week’s takeover announcement?

Insider trading is simply stealing. Notwithstanding the possibility of coincidences, by profiting from insider information the ‘insider’ is nothing more than a thief. Why? Buying shares from, or selling shares to, someone known to have less complete information, results in the gains that would otherwise accrue to them being transferred to the insider.

It has been reported that ASIC is working far more effectively to stamp out the practice, but the regulator acknowledges bringing cases to a satisfactory conclusion is notoriously difficult. That said, the proportion of successful cases brought when takeovers are announced is higher.

Take the example of trading in Leighton’s shares last week.

On Tuesday 4 March 2014, Leighton shares were trading at $17.91. By Friday afternoon on 7 March, the shares were trading at $21 and volume had increased appreciably. Indeed, according to our screens, volume was eight times higher on Thursday and Friday last week (6 and 7 March), than on the prior Monday and Tuesday.

On 7 March, the company responded to a ‘speeding ticket’ from the ASX. To the question: “Is the company aware of any information concerning it that has not been announced to the market which, if known by some in the market, could explain the recent trading in its securities?”, the company answered “No”.

On Monday 10 March, Hochtief – the German-based holder of more than 58.7 per cent of the equity in Leighton – announced an all-cash takeover bid for the company at $22.15 per share.

If the deal was leaked – and according to ASIC representative Stephen Mayne, it was – whoever was involved may never be uncovered, but the first step must be the collection of data covering those who bought and sold shares.

Hochtief has said that they weren’t buying last week.

The integrity of the market is brought into question each time such coincidences arise, so it’s worth someone having a look. It is certainly a big move in the shares of a very large company and it takes some serious conviction to move the price around by 17 per cent in four days, and 12 per cent in the two days prior.  Importantly, the market rose by less than a third of a percent in the two days prior to the announcement.

The stock market has a hard enough time convincing investors who have lost money in various crashes that it is superior to property, and insider trading makes its job that much harder. The consequence of a lack of integrity results in difficulty for businesses in Australia to raise capital, which ultimately results in transfer of IP and business expertise to offshore domiciles.

In the US, cases of misadventure by individuals are brought to trial very quickly with the key thrown away. Australia’s colonial origins however give the immoral plenty of time to make plans for a permanent trip to Majorca. I have always believed insider trading occurs where a culture of greed and self-interest dominates, and while we are not suggesting anything of the sort applies to Leighton, one expects ASIC will find a happy band of greedy thieves at the end of their investigation.

Do you have an example of unusual price behavior leading up to an announcement that was price sensitive?

 

 

INVEST WITH MONTGOMERY

Roger is the Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Montgomery Investment Management. Roger brings more than two decades of investment and financial market experience, knowledge and relationships to bear in his role as Chief Investment Officer. Prior to establishing Montgomery, Roger held positions at Ord Minnett Jardine Fleming, BT (Australia) Limited and Merrill Lynch.

This post was contributed by a representative of Montgomery Investment Management Pty Limited (AFSL No. 354564). The principal purpose of this post is to provide factual information and not provide financial product advice. Additionally, the information provided is not intended to provide any recommendation or opinion about any financial product. Any commentary and statements of opinion however may contain general advice only that is prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Because of this, before acting on any of the information provided, you should always consider its appropriateness in light of your personal objectives, financial circumstances and needs and should consider seeking independent advice from a financial advisor if necessary before making any decisions. This post specifically excludes personal advice.

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3 Comments

  1. Colin Petersen
    :

    DJs & Gunns are some recent examples. CDA is too small to get publicity but that someone had advance notice of December 12th’s market update on or before Dec 9th also seems possible.

    As will be the case with Leighton, the difficulty is always in establishing a legal standard of ‘beyond reasonable doubt’ about any specific individual.

    I’m not sure I agree with you that other countries act faster/harsher than we do…Matthew Martoma is in jail but it took 6years and his head honcho Stephen Cohen is still free. The recently glamorised Jordan Belfort was similarly active for at least half a decade before being caught, and was out after four years. Noone has yet been convicted over LIBOR, though some have been charged, and we’re approaching a decade since that scandal. Sadly the complexity of finance fraud and the difficulty of assembling evidence mean these cases almost never resolve quickly.

  2. Hi Roger,

    Thanks for the article – I don’t know if its just me, but I have seen a number of similar (but smaller scale) patterns, that suggest that (A) insider trading is alive and well on the ASX, and (B) there is a lot more that needs to be done to discourage thieves.

    You mention that insider trading occurs where there is a culture of greed and self-interest, but most importantly it occurs when people know they can get away with it.

    A recent example I was especially shocked by was Codan (CDA), which fell from $1.58 on Dec 2 to $1.30 on the Dec 9, an almost 18% fall. Shortly after on Dec 12, a very disappointing profit guidance was issue to market.

    I very much hope that ASIC is looking into this…

    Joe

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