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Cisco: Mobile data traffic to grow at 66% p.a. over the next five years


Cisco: Mobile data traffic to grow at 66% p.a. over the next five years

The Cisco White Paper, released recently, makes some extraordinary predictions over the next five years and and is well worth reading.

To summarise:

1. In 2012, global mobile traffic grew 70 per cent to 885 petabytes per month. By 2017, this will grow 13 times and surpass 11 exabytes per month, a compound annual growth rate of 66%;

 2. In 2013, the number of mobile-connected devices will exceed the number of people on earth. By 2017 there will be 1.4 mobile connected devices per capita (10b v 7.6b);

3. In 2012, the average mobile connection speeds more than doubled to 526 kilobits per second (Kbps) and this is expected to jump 7 fold by 2017 to 3.9 megabits per second (Mbps);

4. In 2012, fourth generation (4G) accounted for 0.9 percent of mobile connections, but accounted for 14 percent of the mobile data traffic. By 2017, 4G will be 10 percent of connections, and 45 percent of the mobile data traffic. (By 2017, 3G will account for 51% of the mobile data traffic, down from 76% today);

5. In 2012, mobile video traffic exceeded 50% of total mobile traffic. By 2017, video will increase by 16 fold and account for two-thirds of total mobile data traffic; and

6. In 2017, mobile-connected tablets will generate 1.3 exabytes per month or 12 per cent of the total global mobile traffic. The growth from mobile-connected tablets will exceed 100 per cent per annum over the next five years.


For more details please click here.


Chief Executive Officer of Montgomery Investment Management, David has over 30 years of industry experience. David is a deeply knowledgeable and highly experienced financial services executive. Prior to joining Montgomery in 2012, David was CEO and Executive Director of Hunter Hall for 11 years, as well as a Director at JP Morgan in Sydney and London for eight years.

This post was contributed by a representative of Montgomery Investment Management Pty Limited (AFSL No. 354564). The principal purpose of this post is to provide factual information and not provide financial product advice. Additionally, the information provided is not intended to provide any recommendation or opinion about any financial product. Any commentary and statements of opinion however may contain general advice only that is prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Because of this, before acting on any of the information provided, you should always consider its appropriateness in light of your personal objectives, financial circumstances and needs and should consider seeking independent advice from a financial advisor if necessary before making any decisions. This post specifically excludes personal advice.

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  1. Hi David,
    Some of the numbers they are suggesting are mind boggling. I am interested to hear any commentary of whether this will have significant impacts on the telecommunications industry, such as sustained growth for companies such as Apple, Samsung and telco’s? I have heard Roger comment previously that Telstra has proven not to be a very valuable investment.

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