Five companies likely to benefit from a COVID-19 vaccine
As with everything else, there are two camps when it comes to investment conditions today. There are two camps regarding whether the market is expensive (it probably is), whether economic conditions are deteriorating or improving, whether governments and central banks can continue Keynesian intervention indefinitely, and there’s two schools of thought as to whether there’ll be a vaccine.
How do we position for a vaccine and for no vaccine simultaneously? We have already put a great deal of thought into positioning for the development of a vaccine. We’d want to be fully invested but the candidates may look a little different to what you might expect.
In an expensive market we think there are opportunities that would make value investors’ mouths water.
A precondition for being more fully invested is definitely clear progress towards the approval of one or more vaccine candidates. While the news would be resoundingly positive it is not easy to conclude however that markets would be higher. That’s because current market winners, which dominate indices by market weight, could be met with selling as investors rotate capital into companies with businesses that have suffered under lockdown conditions but which could bounce strongly in a vaccine-inspired reopening. We have been searching for these companies – those that play the part of ‘vaccine insurance’ – and we list a few of them in this blog post.
Roger Montgomery is the Founder and Chairman of Montgomery Investment Management. Roger has over three decades of experience in funds management and related activities, including equities analysis, equity and derivatives strategy, trading and stockbroking. Prior to establishing Montgomery, Roger held positions at Ord Minnett Jardine Fleming, BT (Australia) Limited and Merrill Lynch.
He is also author of best-selling investment guide-book for the stock market, Value.able – how to value the best stocks and buy them for less than they are worth.
Roger appears regularly on television and radio, and in the press, including ABC radio and TV, The Australian and Ausbiz. View upcoming media appearances.
This post was contributed by a representative of Montgomery Investment Management Pty Limited (AFSL No. 354564). The principal purpose of this post is to provide factual information and not provide financial product advice. Additionally, the information provided is not intended to provide any recommendation or opinion about any financial product. Any commentary and statements of opinion however may contain general advice only that is prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Because of this, before acting on any of the information provided, you should always consider its appropriateness in light of your personal objectives, financial circumstances and needs and should consider seeking independent advice from a financial advisor if necessary before making any decisions. This post specifically excludes personal advice.
