• On the 3rd of July, the S&P500 index closed at an all-time high 2,996 points. But are equities that expensive? read here

Christmas rally after Trump and Xi agreement at G20 Summit in BA?

03122018_Trade war

Christmas rally after Trump and Xi agreement at G20 Summit in BA?

Over the weekend at the G20 Summit in Buenos Aires, US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to temporarily halt the next round of tariff increases, to be imposed from 1 January 2019 where US$200 billion of imports from China were set to jump from 10 per cent to 25 per cent.

The further threat of $267 billion of imports from China receiving a 10 per cent to 25 per cent tariff impost has also been put on hold as the two countries work towards a more permanent agreement.

In combination with the more “dovish” comments from US Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, indicating fewer US cash rate increases in the foreseeable future, this should reverse recent negative market sentiment and a Christmas rally now seems likely.

Screen Shot 2018-12-03 at 8.50.34 am

The agreed 90-day moratorium is to allow China and the US to begin negotiations on trade and intellectual property rights and China has indicated that it will immediately restart buying US agricultural products. The main question is will China make changes that satisfy the US or will the risks of the trade war resurface in late February 2019?


Chief Executive Officer of Montgomery Investment Management, David has over 30 years of industry experience. David is a deeply knowledgeable and highly experienced financial services executive. Prior to joining Montgomery in 2012, David was CEO and Executive Director of Hunter Hall for 11 years, as well as a Director at JP Morgan in Sydney and London for eight years.

This post was contributed by a representative of Montgomery Investment Management Pty Limited (AFSL No. 354564). The principal purpose of this post is to provide factual information and not provide financial product advice. Additionally, the information provided is not intended to provide any recommendation or opinion about any financial product. Any commentary and statements of opinion however may contain general advice only that is prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Because of this, before acting on any of the information provided, you should always consider its appropriateness in light of your personal objectives, financial circumstances and needs and should consider seeking independent advice from a financial advisor if necessary before making any decisions. This post specifically excludes personal advice.

Why every investor should read Roger’s book VALUE.ABLE


find out more


Post your comments