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Ausbiz: Risk of bank contagion in Australia overrated
Roger Montgomery
March 24, 2023
Roger joined Ausbiz to discuss the ripples that have been sent through the global financial system from the instability in U.S. and European banks. How high is the risk of contagion, is it over stated? Find out why Roger believes the problems seen with Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank are unique to the individual banks.
Watch the interview here: Risk of bank contagion in Australia overratedby Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet, TV Appearances.
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From boom to bust: how rising real rates could impact the stock market
Roger Montgomery
March 10, 2023
Roger joined Ausbiz to discuss the significance of real interest rates on markets, real rates measure your purchasing power or the change in your purchasing power. At the moment the fear is real rates could turn positive. Watch: From boom to bust: how rising real rates could impact the stock market
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet, TV Appearances.
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Ausbiz: How to separate yourself from the market’s distracting noise?
Roger Montgomery
February 17, 2023
With an inflation rate of 6.4 per cent, the U.S. economy is still experiencing inflation, making Gold, Real Estate, Commodities and high fixed cost, cyclical producers investments worthy of consideration. But that inflation rate is coming down. It’s not uncommon for markets to fall amid fear an ‘event’ might occur and then rally when the event does occur. In my conversation with ausbiz we cover how the U.S. economy is growing, which means we are on the right-hand, ‘boom’, side of the matrix.
Watch: How to separate yourself from the market’s distracting noise?by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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ABC The Business: Can the stock market rally continue?
Roger Montgomery
February 10, 2023
Roger joined Kathryn Robinson on ABC The Business to discuss current market conditions. With sharemarkets rallying around the world, does this make economic sense and can the rally be sustained? Meanwhile, predictions of recession leave investors in fear about company earnings growth.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet, TV Appearances.
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Ausbiz: In the markets, last year’s losers are this year’s winners
Roger Montgomery
February 9, 2023
The Australian market was dragged higher in January by roaring global markets. It has really been a case of last year’s losers being this year’s winners. By way of example US-listed Facebook’s peak-to-trough drawdown described a fall of 76 per cent. Facebook shares rose 55 per cent in January. However, I am not too excited, Facebook shares are still down 52 per cent from their high. Watch: In the markets, last year’s losers are this year’s winners
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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ASX consumer discretionary stocks: Broker views and a fundie’s top pick
Sean Sequeira
January 9, 2023
Glenn Freeman published an article in Livewire Markets discussing what lies ahead for the consumer discretionary sector in the year ahead. Australian Eagle’s Sean Sequeira says there is a good reason that some stocks in the sector currently look cheap and many of these share prices don’t align with where they’ll be 12 months from now. Read the article: ASX consumer discretionary stocks: Broker views and a fundie’s top pick
by Sean Sequeira Posted in On the Internet.
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David Jones $100m sale to Anchorage Capital Partners reflects declining value of department stores, analysts say
Roger Montgomery
December 21, 2022
Rhiana Whitson published an article for ABC News discussing the sale of David Jones at a massively discounted price. So what’s next for David Jones? I think department stores like David Jones will continue to face challenges as online competitors take their market share. Retail spending is set to drop off next year as interest rates bite. Read the article: David Jones $100m sale to Anchorage Capital Partners reflects declining value of department stores, analysts say
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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What the private credit boom means for investors
Roger Montgomery
November 24, 2022
In this article for Firstlinks Roger discusses the Private credit asset class. Your bank has been lending to SMEs for a century and now they’re pulling back, opening the opportunity for others, previously you had to own bank shares to see some of the returns from SME lending. Private credit funds now provide direct access to this income stream and growing asset class. So what should investors look for? Read: What the private credit boom means for investors
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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Oil, shares and Australian dollar rally as growth to the rescue
Roger Montgomery
November 15, 2022
Vesna Poljak published an article in the Australian Financial Review discussing how US CPI came in at a lower-than-expected annual increase of 7.7 per cent in October, a better outcome than forecast by economists. Vesna draws on Roger’s thoughts on how bull markets tend not to be sustained when rates are still rising. Read the article: Oil, shares and Australian dollar rally as growth to the rescue (paywall)
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.
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How to be an investor in the ETF and managed fund worlds
Roger Montgomery
November 9, 2022
Rod Myer published an article in The New Daily discussing why investing in an ETF is not a magic formula for success. Rod draws on Roger’s thoughts on why you want to be investing in a theme that is unpopular or when investing overall is unpopular. Read the article: How to be an investor in the ETF and managed fund worlds
by Roger Montgomery Posted in On the Internet.