Consumer discretionary
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Has the market oversold Aussie retailers?
Roger Montgomery
September 26, 2022
The prices of most Australian discretionary retail stocks have fallen in sympathy with their overseas counterparts. The question is: are those declines undeserved? If they are, then high quality Australian retailers trading on low multiples could represent a bargain for long-term investors. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Why we are underweight consumer discretionary companies?
Roger Montgomery
September 12, 2022
There are no doubts some extraordinary businesses exist in the Australian consumer discretionary sector. Names like ARB, Nick Scali, JB Hi-Fi and Lovisa jump to mind as soon as talk turns to the consumer. But as we examine the shape of our portfolios, one glaring active weight is the underweighting we have to consumer discretionary companies. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick.
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ARB and the long game
Roger Montgomery
September 6, 2022
ARB Corporation (ASX:ARB) – the Australian-based global manufacturer and distributor of aftermarket 4WD parts and accessories – has been a stellar performer since listing on the ASX in 1987. It’s a quality business, with sustainable and valuable competitive advantages that enjoys attractive long-term economics. ARB’s share price soared during the lockdowns, but has dropped over 42 per cent in the past year. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick.
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What the Supercheap and Adairs results tell us about the retail sector
Roger Montgomery
August 25, 2022
Some retailers – such as Supercheap Auto (ASX:SUL) – are reporting better than expected results this reporting season. But this hasn’t prevented many analysts from painting a gloomy picture of the retail sector, due largely to the impact of rising interest rates and inflation on consumers’ wallets. If they’re right, then there’s no need for investors to rush back in. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Is Beacon Lighting shooting the lights out long-term?
Roger Montgomery
August 23, 2022
Beacon Lighting (ASX:BLX) supplies and distributes lighting and fans through a network of 117 company stores and two franchised stores, five of which were opened in FY22. The company’s own research suggests capacity for 184 stores in Australia. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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WHITEPAPER
ARE WE THERE YET? WHAT TO DO WHEN THE BOTTOM OF THE MARKET IS UNKNOWN
Roger Montgomery’s latest whitepaper is now available. It explores the challenges of investing when no one knows whether equity markets have reached the bottom of the latest volatility cycle. The paper offers a framework to help you navigate today’s market and invest in quality, profitable companies with growth potential.
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It’s becoming scary for small US retailers
Roger Montgomery
July 22, 2022
U.S. Retail Industry observer Retail Dive is reporting Armaggeddon for small retailers in the U.S., citing the survey results of Alignable, a small business networking service with more than seven million members across North America. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick.
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What to make of the May retail sales figures
Stuart Jackson
July 6, 2022
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has just released retail sales figures for the month of May. Contrary to market expectations, sales remained strong. But is this as good as it gets before rising living expenses eat into discretionary spending? Or will the build-up in pandemic-related household savings, and our strong labour market, continue to drive growth in consumer spending? continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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The retailers that should weather the coming economic storm
Stuart Jackson
May 19, 2022
Conditions are about to get tougher for retailers as they face a perfect storm of falling incomes, galloping inflation, and rising interest rates. These impacts will crimp the discretionary spending power of many people. The one exception could be the under 25-year-old Gen Z demographic, who have fewer non-discretionary costs than other age groups. The retailers who sell to them could fare better than most. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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What Toyota’s update tells us about supply chain disruptions
Roger Montgomery
May 12, 2022
We’ve all heard stories about new-car buyers waiting months for some in-demand models, not to mention the incredible spike in used-car prices. The same factors are behind both issues: supply chain disruptions that are plaguing most carmakers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Recent reports by Toyota and Polaris paint a picture of these disruptions, and how long we can expect them to play out. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Editor's Pick.
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Why Coles should benefit as food inflation starts to bite
Stuart Jackson
May 4, 2022
Suddenly we’re all talking about inflation – particularly food inflation, which has been spurred on by the recent floods. This ‘new normal’ should play well for the value end of food retailing, where the likes of Coles, Woolworths and Aldi are likely to grow market share at the expense of pricier retailers like Metcash. Coles’ recent sales update gives a glimpse of what’s in store. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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