The Blue Chips v The Second Line Telecommunication Competitors
Appearing on “Your Money Your Call” on Sky Business last Wednesday evening was an interesting and mostly amusing experience. The subject of telecommunications was touched on and my fellow panelist espoused the attributes of Telstra and its blue chip qualities.
At Montgomery Investment Management we can’t make Telstra “stack-up” – our assessment of their intrinsic value is well below the current $4.95 share price. Within the telecommunications sector, we have always preferred a number of the second line competitors.
We thought we’d take this opportunity to compare the share price movements of the major Australasian telecommunication companies with a number of those second line competitors over the past five years and let you judge the preferred exposure. Note this table compares capital values only, and excludes dividends.
Company Name | ASX Code | Market Capitalisation
(A$b) |
Share price-30
September 2008 |
Share price- 20 September
2013 |
5 year change (%) |
Telstra | TLS | 61.7 | $4.18 | $4.95 | +18 |
Telecom Corp NZ | TEL | 3.7 | $1.79 | $2.00 | +6 |
Singapore Telecommunication | SGT | 50.9 | $2.54 | $3.23 | +27 |
TPG Telecom | TPM | 3.6 | $0.14 | $4.44 | +3071 |
M2 Telecommunications | MTU | 1.1 | $0.63 | $6.15 | +876 |
iiNet | IIN | 1.0 | $1.39 | $6.10 | +339 |
Amcom Telecommunications | AMM | 0.5 | $0.33 | $1.96 | +493 |
Anil Janmohammad
:
Hi David,
I noticed you gave AMCOM a very strong endorsement on YMYC on Wednesday. Based on current forecasts and using the value.able valuation technique, I only get a intrinsic valuation of circa. $1.30 vs. a current price $2.15.
Can you please give me some more insights on your valuation of the business.
Thanks,
Anil
christophe capel
:
Thanks for sharing this. Any chance you could put a link to the YMYC video mentioned in the blog as well?
Roger Montgomery
:
Hi Christophe, as soon as footage becomes available we’ll post it on the blog.