Insightful Insights
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Lock up your Children!
Roger Montgomery
November 10, 2015
Do not wear a smart watch or fitness tracker or buy one for others.
In March this year we wrote an article for The Australian about the dangerous combination of wearable technologies that tracked vital health statistics and moods, the insurance industry, and artificial intelligence. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights, Technology & Telecommunications.
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The great China slowdown – Part 4
David Buckland
November 9, 2015
As we have noted previously, global steel consumption is expected to decline 3 per cent in 2015 to around 1.6 billion tonnes. According to Macquarie Research, apparent steel consumption from China is down 6 per cent over the nine months to September 2015 and this is largely related to the Chinese construction market, with residential construction demand expected to be down 10 per cent in 2015. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Insightful Insights.
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The long and the short of investing
Roger Montgomery
November 9, 2015
The western world is living through a unique period in its history. Social, business, technological and generational disruptions are converging, including seismic shifts in the relative power of continental empires. This presents an opportunity for a strategy incorporating ‘short selling’ (also called a ‘sold portfolio’). Currently relegated to the ‘alternative’ category of a portfolio, it could arguably be considered a core for many investors. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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On Position Sizing and Hedge Funds
Tim Kelley
November 9, 2015
Consider the casino business: The casino enjoys a small statistical edge over the punter, and uses it ruthlessly. While the outcome of any single game could easily be a win or a loss, that statistical edge becomes overwhelming when a large number of games is played. The punters, in aggregate will inevitably lose. continue…
by Tim Kelley Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Switzer TV
Roger Montgomery
November 7, 2015
In this interview with Peter Switzer, Roger Montgomery gives his views on local stocks and whether they’re a buy. Are any of the banks worth holding? Where to for the Australian share market in the wake of China’s slowing growth?
You can listen to all of the team’s television interviews through browsing our media library, view more clips here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Hard Landings
Roger Montgomery
November 6, 2015
Australians should have all eyes focused on China. China is the dog upon whose tail Australia is attached and our view, as you know, has been that the country would slow dramatically as it tries to rebalance from an economy heavily dependent on fixed asset formation to one reliant on the consumer. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Foreign Currency, Insightful Insights.
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The Business – ABC News
Roger Montgomery
November 5, 2015
In this interview with Ticky Fullerton, Roger Montgomery discusses the sharemarket, the Australian dollar and the RBA’s decision not to cut rates. What does this mean for mortgage holders and the big banks?
You can listen to all of the team’s television interviews through browsing our media library, view more clips here.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Financial Services, Insightful Insights.
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Board movements for October 2015
Roger Montgomery
November 5, 2015
Blenheim Partners have summarised the senior appointments and Board movements across the market for the month of October.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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To be or not to be…Buffett
Roger Montgomery
November 3, 2015
An interesting media spectacle is playing out in the US where fund managers, in support of Valeant, a pharmaceutical company, cite the company’s parallels with the types of investments Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger at Berkshire Hathaway make. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Insightful Insights.
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Treasury Wine Estates – Part 4
Stuart Jackson
November 3, 2015
As set out in the previous parts of this series (here, here and here), Treasury Wine Estate’s (TWE) performance has to improve significantly on an underlying basis to justify the current share price. The fall in the currency is not enough to justify the share price by itself. continue…
by Stuart Jackson Posted in Insightful Insights.
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