Consumer discretionary
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THE GICS SHIFT
Roger Montgomery
September 7, 2018
We think the following note we received from one of our research subscriptions, McAlinden Research Partners is of interest and worth republishing in its entirety. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Is it time to take profits in Kogan?
Roger Montgomery
March 9, 2018
In the nine months since June 2017, the share price of Kogan (ASX: KGN), Australia’s online retailer, has soared by almost 460 per cent. But is this Amazon style company now over-priced? For an answer to that, look no further than the recent stock sales by KGN directors. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Australian Retail Sales Update….tailwinds for some
Roger Montgomery
March 7, 2018
We’re keen to keep an eye on retail sales. You might recall we have previously explained that on the positive side, unemployment if very low, is very good for retail conditions. On the negative side wages growth has been stubbornly flat and retailers have been unable to pass on any price rises. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Which retailers are surviving the digital disruption?
Roger Montgomery
February 27, 2018
Digital disruption is hitting the retail sector harder than most. But not all retailers have been affected to the same extent. Recent research by Citi sheds light on the winners and losers this latest reporting season. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Disruptive forces finally caught up with Myer
David Buckland
February 16, 2018
After Myer’s (ASX: MYR) announcement last Friday it has been revealed they have had a very tough time in the 6 months to January 2018. Earnings are likely down around 40 per cent to sub $40 million on a 3.6 per cent decline in Revenue. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Why we’re still cautious on retail stocks
Andreas Lundberg
February 14, 2018
With household costs going up, and the wage index comping down, it’s little wonder Australians are finding it harder to save. If this trend continues, it spells leaner times for Australian businesses exposed to consumer spending. continue…
by Andreas Lundberg Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Should value investors steer clear of Myer?
Roger Montgomery
January 15, 2018
There was a time when department stores were a go-to destination for most shoppers. But not anymore. Today, department stores are doing it tough. And, for the likes of Myer (ASX:MYR) and David Jones, there seems no respite in sight. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Will Amazon turn retailing on its head?
Roger Montgomery
December 11, 2017
Ahead of the arrival of Amazon, investors smashed the share prices of many Aussie retailers. These include hitherto great businesses like JB Hi-Fi, which has plunged around 25 per cent this year, despite delivering record sales and profits. Although after its launch last Tuesday, do we still think dark times are expected? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Consumer discretionary.
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Four lessons for retailers who want to survive
Roger Montgomery
November 9, 2017
The increasing challenges faced by our retailers are well documented. But from adversity can come opportunity, provided a business is prepared to innovate. And from the US comes the story of a retailer that did innovate, and has done more than just survive – it has thrived. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary.
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Which retailers will survive after Amazon hits our shores?
Roger Montgomery
October 26, 2017
How much will Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) hurt our retailers when its local website launches later this year? Quite a lot, it seems, if the plunging share price of some businesses is anything to go by. But it’s not all doom and gloom. Some retailers should continue to thrive. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Consumer discretionary.