An insider’s perspective of QE
Andrew Huszar managed the first round of the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing program, purchasing $1.25 trillion of mortgage-backed securities from 2009 to 2010. The former Morgan Stanley managing director has penned an opinion piece in the Wall Street Journal that questions the efficacy of the program. It’s well worth a read (click here).
Here are the implications from the insider’s perspective:
• Trading from the first round of QE provided trivial relief for Main Street, but considerable relief for Wall Street. The banks have enjoyed lower wholesale credit costs, rising values on their security holdings, and large commissions from brokering most of the Fed’s QE transactions.
• The first round of easing wasn’t making credit any more accessible for the average American, as banks were issuing fewer and fewer loans.
• $4 trillion of purchases may have only generated a few percentage points of U.S. GDP growth.
• QE killed the urgency for Washington to confront the structurally unsound U.S. economy.
• It is expected that the program will continue next year, as Ben Bernanke’s likely successor, Fed Vice Chairwoman, Janet Yellen, supports the easing.
• QE has become Wall Street’s “too big to fail” policy.
Andrew Huszar became disillusioned with the independence of the Federal Reserve and returned to the private sector after the first round was completed. The apology for his role in the program serves as a timely warning that the economy is likely to wake up with a chronic headache when the party inevitably ends.
This post was contributed by a representative of Montgomery Investment Management Pty Limited (AFSL No. 354564). The principal purpose of this post is to provide factual information and not provide financial product advice. Additionally, the information provided is not intended to provide any recommendation or opinion about any financial product. Any commentary and statements of opinion however may contain general advice only that is prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Because of this, before acting on any of the information provided, you should always consider its appropriateness in light of your personal objectives, financial circumstances and needs and should consider seeking independent advice from a financial advisor if necessary before making any decisions. This post specifically excludes personal advice.
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Greg McLennan
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I think a basic rule of thumb is that when humans try to intervene in the market, they generally make things worse. The fallout from this monstrous intervention could be quite impressive, when the time comes.