IPO investing: Mind the GAAP
The disappointing public market debuts of private market darlings Uber and Lyft, and the nervous handwringing of their unicorn compatriots waiting in the pipeline serve as another reminder to investors of the importance of sound financial analysis using financial metrics that bear some semblance to reality.
In order to convince public market investors of their dazzling private market valuations, these rapidly growing but loss-making companies and their backers have invented creative if not wholly fanciful measures for evaluating their performance. These alternative or “adjusted” measures are nothing new – indeed many public companies provide adjusted earnings to normalise for what management consider to be extraordinary or non-recurring items – but the extent of the adjustments proposed by the companies in question are so far removed from economic reality as to be entirely useless to a prudent investor.
Source: The Wall Street Journal, company filings
Take Uber for instance. The company’s S-1 discloses a GAAP operating loss of $3.0 billion in 2018, yet through the magic of adjustments it also achieved a “core platform contribution profit” of $940 million. Among the items excluded from core platform contribution profit are $0.5 billion of R&D expenses related to Uber’s future (mainly autonomous driving), $2.1 billion of other unallocated R&D and general & administrative expenses related to supposedly non-core functions such as finance, accounting, tax and IT, $0.4 billion of D&A, and a $152 million loss related to “Other Bets.” These adjustments supposedly give investors a better idea of the direct costs and profitability of the core ride-sharing and Uber Eats businesses, but of course investors are not just buying into the core platform.
WeWork’s “community adjusted EBITDA” is perhaps even more controversial. The name suggests some measure of adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, but also excludes sales & marketing expenses, growth & new market development expenses, general & administrative expenses, pre-opening expenses and hefty stock-based compensation amongst other items. It even adjusts for the “impact of straight-lining of rent,” an inconvenient GAAP requirement. “Community adjusted EBITDA” is intended to indicate the profitability of mature WeWork buildings that are tenanted and omits the cost of growth and the customer acquisition costs.
One potential explanation for these increasingly aggressive non-GAAP performance measures is that many of these highly valued private companies have grown themselves into a corner by remaining private for so long. Public investors can be understanding of young companies that go to market while still loss-making, but only if there’s still an opportunity to make an attractive return. Many of the current crop of unicorns are approaching or past their 10-year anniversaries and still incurring historic GAAP losses even as their top lines decelerate, and have been valued by private investors on a “greater fool” basis. It appears that this time, public investors are reluctant to play the role of the greater fool.Public investors can be understanding of young companies that go to market while still loss-making, but only if there’s still an opportunity to make an attractive return. Click To Tweet