Earnings expectations under pressure
According to Deutsche Bank Research, earnings expectations for the Australian listed market have been cut in recent months. Forecast earnings growth for the year to June 2015 has come down to 6-7 per cent, slightly below expectations for the year to June 2014.
The softer momentum in earnings per share growth is attributable to weaker commodity prices – blamed on the cooling Chinese property market and flat year-on-year Industrial Production growth from the Euro zone; negative sentiment from the “tough” Federal Government Budget affecting near term spending; and the persistently high Australian Dollar/ US Dollar exchange rate.
While a mild improvement in revenue is forecast for FY15, there is an expected pick up in margins from ongoing efficiency and cost cutting programs. Record low interest rates are supportive of Merger and Acquisition activity, which has ramped up aggressively overseas.
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