Co-ordinated easing – Chinese exports to slow?
Early Friday morning Australian time saw coordinated easing from three of the World’s largest central banks. Firstly, the Bank of England raised their asset purchase target from GBP325 billion to GBP375 billion. Then the People’s Bank of China cut the one-year lending rate by 0.31 per cent to 6.0 per cent and the one-year deposit rate by 0.25 per cent to 3.0 per cent. China’s June Quarter GDP data is due out this Friday 13 July. Finally, the European Central Bank cut its main rate by 0.25 per cent to a record low 0.75 per cent.
ECB President Mario Draghi told reporters risk to the outlook remain “on the downside”. The European Union is China’s largest export market. At some stage this slowdown will weigh on China’s exports, which account for 40% of its GDP.
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Roger Montgomery is the Founder and Chairman of Montgomery Investment Management. Roger has over three decades of experience in funds management and related activities, including equities analysis, equity and derivatives strategy, trading and stockbroking.
Prior to establishing Montgomery, Roger held positions at Ord Minnett Jardine Fleming, BT (Australia) Limited and Merrill Lynch.
This post was contributed by a representative of Montgomery Investment Management Pty Limited (AFSL No. 354564). The principal purpose of this post is to provide factual information and not provide financial product advice. Additionally, the information provided is not intended to provide any recommendation or opinion about any financial product. Any commentary and statements of opinion however may contain general advice only that is prepared without taking into account your personal objectives, financial circumstances or needs. Because of this, before acting on any of the information provided, you should always consider its appropriateness in light of your personal objectives, financial circumstances and needs and should consider seeking independent advice from a financial advisor if necessary before making any decisions. This post specifically excludes personal advice.
Ann
:
I saw a report that the Chinese Govt is buying gold to stablise their banking system
Kelvin
:
Hi Roger, here’s a bit of doom and gloom from Ambrose Evans-Pritchard:
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100018475/china-heads-for-a-deflationary-shock/
Kelvin
Gabe
:
Dear Roger
If China’s exports equate to 40% of its GDP and they have about 50% of GDP invested in the resource industries, all in trouble I might suggest but hard on the heels is their finance sector – I cant get a proper grip on the Chinese – I am suggesting they are telling porkies.
You could forgive the poor old ASX investors for being weary and why would you involve yourself in the investing stock market game.
As I have said before there is a danger in going in blind or having the wrong information – Keep watching China data folks.