Market commentary
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What three billionaire investors think the future holds
Roger Montgomery
September 21, 2022
In a recent podcast, famed U.S. investor Howard Marks noted that “there are no facts about the future, just opinions.” But that truism hasn’t stopped three of his fellow billionaires – Bill Ackman, Stanley Druckenmiller and Ray Dalio – airing their views on the prospects for the global economy and investment returns. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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How to profit from today’s market volatility
Roger Montgomery
September 20, 2022
When markets head south, it’s a time for investors to rejoice and not despair. Because falling markets give you the chance to invest in quality businesses – often at knock-down prices. So, my advice right now is to make the market correction your ally, remembering that the lower the price you pay, the higher your long-term return is likely to be. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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Aura High Yield SME Fund: Letter to investors 09 September 2022
Brett Craig
September 12, 2022
The RBA has raised rates for the fifth month in a row bringing the cash rate to 2.35% with the expectation of reining in inflation by the end of the year. Largely in line with market expectations, the RBA raised the cash rate by 50 basis points. This is the highest cash rate since early 2015. continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.
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Aura High Yield SME Fund: Letter to Investors 02 September 2022
Brett Craig
September 5, 2022
The retail trade and APRA July 2022 data released this week provided more data to support RBA hikes in the coming months. This week the ABS released data for retail trade turnover and volume. This dataset includes references to retail businesses including stores and online sales. continue…
by Brett Craig Posted in Aura Group, Market commentary.
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Why the Fed’s war on inflation could lead to bargains for investors
Roger Montgomery
August 30, 2022
On Friday at Jackson Hole in the U.S., Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, spoke for eight minutes and 38 seconds reinforcing the idea that restrictive monetary policy is likely to be maintained for some time – all in the name of fighting inflation. World markets quickly went into reverse. The good news is that savvy investors may now get another chance to buy quality businesses at attractive prices. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Market commentary.
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Beware of a head fake, warns Goldman Sachs
Roger Montgomery
August 26, 2022
When it comes to investing, a head fake is an increase or decrease in market performance that is quickly followed by a shift in the opposite direction. And with the market bouncing off recent lows, that’s exactly what the analysts at Goldman Sachs are warning could soon occur as investors realise they became too excited too soon. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Is the current rally premature?
Roger Montgomery
August 17, 2022
I believe there are good arguments the current rally is premature and might reverse. Keep in mind I am still long and heavily invested in equities. I just think the current rally has got ahead of itself. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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What to expect from markets in the week ahead
Roger Montgomery
August 8, 2022
Domestic results season is about to ramp up and investors like us will be focusing, in particular, on the outlook statements. You might recall there was a lot of optimism at the time of the half yearly results in February. Back then, a combination of reopening, rebuilding and expectations of a continuation of accommodative monetary policy was met abruptly, in late February, with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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Growth stocks could rebound if inflation turns out to be “transitory” after all
Roger Montgomery
August 3, 2022
Since bravely declaring that inflation would be “transitory” the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, has been ridiculed for being so wrong. After all, we’ve since seen inflation exceed initial estimates and be more persistent than anticipated. But now it seems inflation could be transitory after all. And that augers well for quality growth stocks. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Global markets, Market commentary.
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Could a credit crunch be more important than a recession?
Roger Montgomery
July 20, 2022
I have just penned my next column for The Australian Wealth section this weekend. In the article I explain how different definitions of recession are common and yet largely irrelevant for today’s equity investor. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.
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