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This morning on ABC Mornings with Paul Turton, we discussed the upcoming corporate reporting season and what it might reveal about Australia’s economic health. I noted that while markets have been strong so far this year – led by banks and tech – investors will be closely watching whether earnings justify this optimism. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Radio.

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With U.S. President Donald Trump’s almost bipolar approach to domestic and foreign policy amid a drift to authoritarianism, investors in gold and bitcoin are demonstrating a belief that the U.S. dollar and American exceptionalism are simultaneously being undermined. Advisers globally, however, have the majority of their clients vastly underweight these assets in portfolios that remain highly exposed to stocks, and in particular, the S&P500 – an index whose sneeze causes everyone to catch a cold.

This article was first published in The Australian on 14 June 2025. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in In the Press.

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In this interview with ABC News, we unpack the liquidity-fuelled rally sweeping global markets – from the resurgence of meme stocks and crypto to China’s massive $10 trillion stimulus. We also explore what’s next, as Trump’s tariffs are set to be finalised by Friday and speculation builds around a potential Fed rate cut. How might these developments shape the next phase of the market rally? Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in TV Appearances.

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In 2025, the U.S. enacted the most significant trade policy shift in decades, with average tariffs rising from roughly 2.4 per cent in January to approximately 18–20 per cent by August, levels not seen since the 1930s.

In some cases, duties on Chinese imports have exceeded 50 per cent, marking a sharp departure from the stable global trade arrangements of recent decades. Continue…

by Roger Montgomery Posted in Market commentary.

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• POSTED IN Market commentary.