Roger Montgomery is the Founder and Chairman of Montgomery Investment Management. Roger has over three decades of experience in funds management and related activities, including equities analysis, equity and derivatives strategy, trading and stockbroking. Prior to establishing Montgomery, Roger held positions at Ord Minnett Jardine Fleming, BT (Australia) Limited and Merrill Lynch.
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I joined Jas on the Spark your FIRE podcast to discuss the positive outlook for equities, especially innovative companies with strong growth potential. We highlighted how the current landscape of disinflation and economic growth sets the stage for firms with pricing power and discussed the rapid growth potential of small caps like Macquarie Technology (ASX:MAQ) and Megaport (ASX:MP1). Additionally, we explored the property market and emerging markets, and I spotlighted TUAS (ASX:TUA) as a stock pick worth considering. Continue…
In my recent article for Firstlinks, I revisited the stance I took nearly a year ago, advocating for investment in small caps – a position that seemed premature at the time. Subsequently, the investment landscape has evolved significantly, steering many investors, myself included, towards smaller companies both domestically and internationally. The current macroeconomic backdrop, characterised by disinflation and positive economic growth, seems particularly conducive to smaller companies with robust pricing power and innovation, traits that are essential for outperformance. Read the full article here for my full insights: Small caps are compelling but not for the reasons you might think…
In this week’s video insight, I delve into Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) remarkable trajectory, from a key player in the autonomous car industry to a soaring tech giant, and its subsequent 1300 per cent rally. However, beyond Nvidia’s individual narrative, I confront the core challenge of valuing growth, dissecting the balance between growth rate and sustainability over time. Continue…
The frequency of calls that the market is in a euphoric bubble is increasing. It’s worth exploring some of the evidence used to reach that conclusion before deciding whether now is the time to adopt a more cautious stance and to ready oneself for the benefits lower prices deliver. Continue…
After the disaster for equity markets in 2022, calendar 2023 saw investors return to rewarding robust fundamentals, but only for a very narrow band of companies. Perhaps it was the fear of further rate rises or the fear of recession, but investors concentrated their bets on only the most liquid securities, those of mega cap companies. Continue…
In a constantly evolving investment landscape, private credit stands out as an important opportunity, especially for those seeking alternatives to traditional income solutions and volatile public markets. Private credit is an option for investing that, for example, can generate potentially superior income streams to those from owning bank shares, but without the risk to capital that comes with the stock market. Continue…
In this week’s video insight, I delve into the promising realm of small cap companies for 2024, a sector where I’ve maintained a bullish stance since November 2022. The Small Ordinaries Index and the S&P600 Small Cap Index have shown noteworthy gains, underscoring the potential that these companies hold in a recovering economy. As global economic indicators signal a gradual improvement and the potential for a disinflationary boom, the stage is set for innovative small caps to thrive, especially with interest rates poised for a cut. Continue…
Wow. Talk about playing the man and not the ball! Perhaps some of the most vitriolic feedback I have encountered has come from those who have chosen to write to me explaining how wrong I am about Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) possibly being just another car company.
They’re as staunchly convinced about the company’s prospects as they are about its products. Continue…
In this week’s video insight, I explore the equity market’s outlook, stressing the balance between disinflation and positive growth against the backdrop of potential inflation and economic slowdowns. Market dips, while concerning, are seen as opportunities, especially in smaller companies, provided inflation or recession risks don’t materialize. I highlight the significant role of the U.S. Federal Reserve and central banks in shaping expectations through interest rate policies. Recent shifts in market sentiment, driven by economic data and Fed caution, illustrate the challenge of forecasting amidst these uncertainties. Continue…
The S&P500 is up 10 per cent in the first quarter of calendar 2024. Another useless fact is that the S&P 500’s rally set 22 new records in 2024 alone, and its market value has grown by over U.S.$9 trillion since late October.
It’s worth reflecting on our prediction from last year that innovative growth stocks would outperform mega-cap tech stocks in 2024 as investors broadened their risk appetite to include small caps. Continue…
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